Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Tanner Koziol ⚠️ experimental

TE · Houston · Class of 2026 · Model rank #343 (pos #61)
113
Projected career fp
3.8
Projected peak3 fp/g
2.3
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
13
Comps w/ NFL data
v3.0 note — TE projections are preview-grade. The engine's TE Spearman ρ is 0.086 vs 0.27+ for QB/RB/WR. TE-specific feature weights are on the v3.1 roadmap. Use this comp grid as a directional indicator, not a hard projection. See methodology.
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NFL comparables — first 2 career games

N = 2 games2 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 603 historical TEs who played at least 2 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Tanner Koziol’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 2 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 2 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Tanner Koziol this rookie20263 tgt · 3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD————
Travis Beckum20093 tgt · 3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD1.000bust704
David Grinnage20183 tgt · 3 rec · 24 yds · 0 TD0.975bust121
Trey McBride20223 tgt · 3 rec · 24 yds · 0 TD0.975active9535
Mike McNeill20123 tgt · 3 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD0.975bust92
Jabari Holloway20023 tgt · 3 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD0.929bust312
Nate Adkins20233 tgt · 3 rec · 19 yds · 0 TD0.908active964
Quintin Morris20223 tgt · 3 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD0.888active655
Crockett Gillmore20143 tgt · 3 rec · 29 yds · 0 TD0.868bust1473
Matt LaCosse20154 tgt · 3 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD0.862bust924
Kylen Granson20214 tgt · 3 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD0.862active1996
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Tanner Koziol played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 5, Pick #164 — JAX
KTC consensus. Not currently ranked on KTC. No delta available.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.33_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 4 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.33; we blend the comp-only projection (100) with the pick-tier baseline (120).

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 8.67Final season fp/g: 10.24Peak season fp/g: 12.56Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Tanner Koziol. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Kylen GransonSMU20210.496bustKylen Granson1993.96
Harrison BryantFlorida Atlantic20200.411bustHarrison Bryant2444.66
Eli StowersVanderbilt20260.379unknownEli Stowers84.21
Jake FergusonWisconsin20220.345unknownJake Ferguson5629.65
Joshua SimonSouth Carolina20250.335unknownJoshua Simon———
Peyton HendershotIndiana20220.332bustPeyton Hendershot572.13
Trey KnoxSouth Carolina20240.331unknownTrey Knox———
Rivaldo FairweatherAuburn20250.331unknownRivaldo Fairweather———
Justin JolyNC State20260.329unknownJustin Joly———
Isaiah LikelyCoastal Carolina20220.309unknownIsaiah Likely49010.55
Michael TriggBaylor20260.308unknownMichael Trigg———
R.J. MarylandSMU20260.305unknownRJ Maryland———
Will MalloryMiami20230.304bustWill Mallory522.74
Sam RoushStanford20260.300unknownSam Roush61.31
Bryson NesbitNorth Carolina20250.298unknownBryson Nesbit———
Jake BriningstoolClemson20250.297unknownJake Briningstool40.91
Jared PinkneyVanderbilt20200.293unknownJared Pinkney00.01
Jake RohBoise State20180.289unknownJake Roh———
Daniel BarkerMichigan State20230.288unknownDaniel Barker———
Sam LaPortaIowa20230.288starterSam LaPorta60712.74
Terrance FergusonOregon20250.285unknownTerrance Ferguson715.62
Jalin ConyersTexas Tech20250.284unknownJalin Conyers———
Caden PrieskornOle Miss20250.282unknownCaden Prieskorn———
Kamari MoralesBoston College20250.281unknownKamari Morales———
Payne DurhamPurdue20230.278bustPayne Durham492.34

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.