Sam Roush’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 5 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 5 career games | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Roush this rookie | 2026 | 5 tgt · 3 rec · 33 yds · 0 TD | — | — | — | — |
| Shad Meier | 2001 | 5 tgt · 3 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD | 0.954 | bust | 89 | 4 |
| Larry Donnell | 2013 | 5 tgt · 3 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD | 0.954 | depth | 251 | 4 |
| Jacob Hollister | 2017 | 6 tgt · 3 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD | 0.895 | depth | 196 | 5 |
| Antony Auclair | 2017 | 3 tgt · 3 rec · 33 yds · 0 TD | 0.885 | bust | 34 | 5 |
| Charlie Woerner | 2020 | 5 tgt · 4 rec · 40 yds · 0 TD | 0.883 | active | 52 | 7 |
| Phillip Supernaw | 2014 | 3 tgt · 3 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD | 0.871 | bust | 34 | 4 |
| Matt Murphy | 2002 | 4 tgt · 2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD | 0.867 | bust | 6 | 4 |
| Clay Harbor | 2010 | 5 tgt · 4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD | 0.865 | depth | 275 | 7 |
| Kyle Adams | 2011 | 4 tgt · 2 rec · 24 yds · 0 TD | 0.864 | bust | 8 | 3 |
| Chris Manhertz | 2016 | 4 tgt · 2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD | 0.860 | active | 79 | 11 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Sam Roush. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mallory | Miami | 2023 | 0.788 | bust | Will Mallory | 52 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Jake Briningstool | Clemson | 2025 | 0.716 | unknown | Jake Briningstool | 4 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Michael Trigg | Baylor | 2026 | 0.578 | unknown | Michael Trigg | — | — | — |
| Kamari Morales | Boston College | 2025 | 0.559 | unknown | Kamari Morales | — | — | — |
| Bryson Nesbit | North Carolina | 2025 | 0.483 | unknown | Bryson Nesbit | — | — | — |
| Tanner McLachlan | Arizona | 2024 | 0.483 | unknown | Tanner McLachlan | — | — | — |
| Peyton Hendershot | Indiana | 2022 | 0.478 | bust | Peyton Hendershot | 57 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Luke Schoonmaker | Michigan | 2023 | 0.477 | bust | Luke Schoonmaker | 117 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Erick All | Iowa | 2024 | 0.473 | unknown | Erick All | 49 | 4.5 | 2 |
| Eli Stowers | Vanderbilt | 2026 | 0.466 | unknown | Eli Stowers | 8 | 4.2 | 1 |
| Matt Bushman | BYU | 2020 | 0.466 | unknown | Matt Bushman | — | — | — |
| Corey Dyches | Maryland | 2024 | 0.465 | unknown | Corey Dyches | — | — | — |
| Jalin Conyers | Texas Tech | 2025 | 0.465 | unknown | Jalin Conyers | — | — | — |
| Justin Joly | NC State | 2026 | 0.464 | unknown | Justin Joly | — | — | — |
| Jared Wiley | TCU | 2024 | 0.464 | unknown | Jared Wiley | 3 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Mason Fairchild | Kansas | 2024 | 0.452 | unknown | Mason Fairchild | — | — | — |
| Cary Angeline | NC State | 2021 | 0.438 | unknown | Cary Angeline | — | — | — |
| Jack Velling | Michigan State | 2026 | 0.433 | unknown | Jack Velling | — | — | — |
| Trey Knox | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.428 | unknown | Trey Knox | — | — | — |
| Tommy Sweeney | Boston College | 2019 | 0.421 | bust | Tommy Sweeney | 40 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Kole Taylor | West Virginia | 2025 | 0.420 | unknown | Kole Taylor | — | — | — |
| John Copenhaver | North Carolina | 2025 | 0.419 | unknown | John Copenhaver | — | — | — |
| Jake Ferguson | Wisconsin | 2022 | 0.416 | unknown | Jake Ferguson | 562 | 9.6 | 5 |
| Sam LaPorta | Iowa | 2023 | 0.411 | starter | Sam LaPorta | 607 | 12.7 | 4 |
| Chase Allen | Iowa State | 2022 | 0.408 | unknown | Chase Allen | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.