College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Justin Joly. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Hendershot | Indiana | 2022 | 0.860 | bust | Peyton Hendershot | 57 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Trey Knox | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.710 | unknown | Trey Knox | — | — | — |
| Jake Ferguson | Wisconsin | 2022 | 0.593 | unknown | Jake Ferguson | 562 | 9.6 | 5 |
| Daniel Barker | Michigan State | 2023 | 0.513 | unknown | Daniel Barker | — | — | — |
| Jake Briningstool | Clemson | 2025 | 0.468 | unknown | Jake Briningstool | 4 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Sam Roush | Stanford | 2026 | 0.464 | unknown | Sam Roush | 6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Bryson Nesbit | North Carolina | 2025 | 0.463 | unknown | Bryson Nesbit | — | — | — |
| Jalin Conyers | Texas Tech | 2025 | 0.448 | unknown | Jalin Conyers | — | — | — |
| Will Mallory | Miami | 2023 | 0.448 | bust | Will Mallory | 52 | 2.7 | 4 |
| C.J. Conrad | Kentucky | 2019 | 0.424 | unknown | C.J. Conrad | — | — | — |
| Dae'Quan Wright | Ole Miss | 2026 | 0.421 | unknown | Dae'Quan Wright | — | — | — |
| Michael Trigg | Baylor | 2026 | 0.416 | unknown | Michael Trigg | — | — | — |
| Jack Velling | Michigan State | 2026 | 0.411 | unknown | Jack Velling | — | — | — |
| Terrance Ferguson | Oregon | 2025 | 0.406 | unknown | Terrance Ferguson | 71 | 5.6 | 2 |
| Kamari Morales | Boston College | 2025 | 0.399 | unknown | Kamari Morales | — | — | — |
| Matt Bushman | BYU | 2020 | 0.388 | unknown | Matt Bushman | — | — | — |
| Eli Stowers | Vanderbilt | 2026 | 0.380 | unknown | Eli Stowers | 8 | 4.2 | 1 |
| Rivaldo Fairweather | Auburn | 2025 | 0.376 | unknown | Rivaldo Fairweather | — | — | — |
| Caden Prieskorn | Ole Miss | 2025 | 0.372 | unknown | Caden Prieskorn | — | — | — |
| Jared Pinkney | Vanderbilt | 2020 | 0.370 | unknown | Jared Pinkney | 0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Sam LaPorta | Iowa | 2023 | 0.364 | starter | Sam LaPorta | 607 | 12.7 | 4 |
| Tommy Sweeney | Boston College | 2019 | 0.359 | bust | Tommy Sweeney | 40 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Chase Allen | Iowa State | 2022 | 0.349 | unknown | Chase Allen | — | — | — |
| Seydou Traore | Mississippi State | 2026 | 0.347 | unknown | Seydou Traore | 0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| R.J. Maryland | SMU | 2026 | 0.341 | unknown | RJ Maryland | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.