Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Chase Brown

RB · Illinois · Class of 2023 · Model rank #204 (pos #47)
278
Projected career fp
6.1
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.2
Proj yrs in league
21.0
Age
19
Comps w/ NFL data
← back to Prospect Rankings
🏈 NFL Draft 2023: Round 5, Pick #163 — CIN
KTC consensus. SF rank 60 (pos #14) — model delta ↓↓ -144. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.83_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 10 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.83; we blend the comp-only projection (298) with the pick-tier baseline (180).

Projection Inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 14.20Final season fp/g: 23.71Peak season fp/g: 23.71Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Chase Brown. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Leddie BrownWest Virginia20220.535unknownLeddie Brown———
Dillon JohnsonWashington20240.490unknownDillon Johnson———
Vernand MorencyOklahoma State20050.463bustVernand Morency1925.53
Alex BarnesKansas State20190.454unknownAlex Barnes———
Hassan HaskinsMichigan20220.453bustHassan Haskins691.83
Eddie LacyAlabama20130.452starterEddie Lacy72714.25
Justin ForsettCalifornia20080.442starterJustin Forsett85212.79
Emmett JohnsonNebraska20260.439unknownEmmett Johnson517.31
Jordan JamesOregon20250.429unknownJordan James41.11
Rashaad PennySan Diego State20180.428unknownRashaad Penny32810.36
Jordan TodmanConnecticut20110.427bustJordan Todman1603.66
Jonathan StewartOregon20080.416starterJonathan Stewart134312.511
CJ VerdellOregon20220.415unknownCJ Verdell———
Jordan HowardIndiana20160.412starterJordan Howard81413.47
Darrell HendersonMemphis20190.405unknownDarrell Henderson43311.15
Israel AbanikandaPittsburgh20230.392unknownIsrael Abanikanda183.01
Kevin JonesVirginia Tech20040.389starterKevin Jones71114.45
Jeremiyah LoveNotre Dame20260.386unknownJeremiyah Love538.91
Josh RobinsonMississippi State20150.386unknownJosh Robinson112.21
Rajion NealTennessee20140.383unknownRajion Neal———
Mike DavisSouth Carolina20150.379unknownMike Davis58110.58
Kendre MillerTCU20230.377bustKendre Miller1445.84
Devon AchaneTexas A&M20230.372eliteDe'Von Achane83818.44
Wendell SmallwoodWest Virginia20160.371unknownWendell Smallwood2516.15
Tanardo SharpsTemple20030.370unknownTanardo Sharps———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.