College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Tyjae Spears. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hill | Wyoming | 2017 | 0.823 | bust | Brian Hill | 188 | 5.3 | 5 |
| Jahad Thomas | Temple | 2017 | 0.773 | unknown | Jahad Thomas | — | — | — |
| Doug Martin | Boise State | 2012 | 0.771 | starter | Doug Martin | 976 | 15.2 | 7 |
| Ryan Mathews | Fresno State | 2010 | 0.714 | starter | Ryan Mathews | 1060 | 13.9 | 7 |
| Alexander Mattison | Boise State | 2019 | 0.672 | unknown | Alexander Mattison | 640 | 8.7 | 6 |
| Marlon Mack | South Florida | 2017 | 0.634 | starter | Marlon Mack | 522 | 12.1 | 6 |
| Michael Warren II | Cincinnati | 2020 | 0.579 | unknown | Mike Warren | — | — | — |
| Rodney Ferguson | New Mexico | 2009 | 0.543 | unknown | Rodney Ferguson | — | — | — |
| Darius Walker | Notre Dame | 2007 | 0.496 | starter | Darius Walker | 56 | 13.9 | 1 |
| James Starks | Buffalo | 2009 | 0.487 | unknown | James Starks | 559 | 8.7 | 7 |
| Ahmad Bradshaw | Marshall | 2007 | 0.478 | starter | Ahmad Bradshaw | 1093 | 15.5 | 9 |
| Makhi Hughes | Tulane | 2025 | 0.478 | unknown | Makhi Hughes | — | — | — |
| Devin Singletary | Florida Atlantic | 2019 | 0.472 | unknown | Devin Singletary | 1073 | 11.7 | 8 |
| Chad Hall | Air Force | 2008 | 0.470 | unknown | Chad Hall | — | — | — |
| Vai Taua | Nevada | 2011 | 0.468 | unknown | Vai Taua | — | — | — |
| Joey Iosefa | Hawaii | 2014 | 0.465 | unknown | Joey Iosefa | — | — | — |
| Jerome Ford | Cincinnati | 2022 | 0.465 | unknown | Jerome Ford | 390 | 8.4 | 4 |
| Gartrell Johnson III | Colorado State | 2009 | 0.463 | unknown | Gartrell Johnson | 12 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Darrynton Evans | App State | 2020 | 0.459 | bust | Darrynton Evans | 61 | 4.1 | 5 |
| Cecil Sapp | Colorado State | 2003 | 0.457 | bust | Cecil Sapp | 74 | 2.6 | 6 |
| Darrell Henderson | Memphis | 2019 | 0.454 | unknown | Darrell Henderson | 433 | 11.1 | 5 |
| Anthony Wales | Western Kentucky | 2017 | 0.449 | unknown | Anthony Wales | — | — | — |
| Brock Forsey | Boise State | 2003 | 0.447 | unknown | Brock Forsey | 43 | 4.4 | 2 |
| Cam Cook | Jacksonville State | 2026 | 0.435 | unknown | Cam Cook | — | — | — |
| Felix Jones | Arkansas | 2008 | 0.422 | unknown | Felix Jones | 620 | 10.0 | 6 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.