College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Ted Hurst. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Merritt | Arkansas State | 2020 | 0.948 | unknown | Kirk Merritt | 2 | 2.3 | 1 |
| JoJo Ward | Hawai'i | 2020 | 0.790 | unknown | JoJo Ward | — | — | — |
| Eli Heidenreich | Navy | 2026 | 0.627 | unknown | Eli Heidenreich | — | — | — |
| Jamaal Pritchett | South Alabama | 2025 | 0.572 | unknown | Jamaal Pritchett | 0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Terrell Vaughn | Utah State | 2024 | 0.546 | unknown | Terrell Vaughn | — | — | — |
| John Hightower | Boise State | 2020 | 0.536 | unknown | John Hightower | 29 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Corey Xavier Sutton | App State | 2022 | 0.518 | unknown | Corey Xavier Sutton | — | — | — |
| Javon Baker | UCF | 2024 | 0.510 | unknown | Javon Baker | 2 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Danny Gray | SMU | 2022 | 0.497 | unknown | Danny Gray | 3 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Siaosi Mariner | Utah State | 2020 | 0.496 | unknown | Siaosi Mariner | — | — | — |
| Camden Brown | Georgia Southern | 2026 | 0.496 | unknown | Camden Brown | — | — | — |
| Reggie Brown | James Madison | 2024 | 0.488 | unknown | Reggie Brown | — | — | — |
| Cedric Byrd | Hawai'i | 2020 | 0.487 | unknown | Cedric Byrd | — | — | — |
| Jaden Smith | Nevada | 2025 | 0.474 | unknown | Jaden Smith | — | — | — |
| Kris Thornton | James Madison | 2023 | 0.470 | unknown | Kris Thornton | — | — | — |
| Josh Johnson | Tulsa | 2022 | 0.461 | unknown | Josh Johnson | — | — | — |
| Anthony Johnson | Buffalo | 2019 | 0.455 | unknown | Anthony Johnson | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Waters | Air Force | 2020 | 0.449 | unknown | Benjamin Waters | — | — | — |
| Ricky White | UNLV | 2025 | 0.443 | unknown | Ricky White III | — | — | — |
| Trevon Brown | East Carolina | 2019 | 0.437 | unknown | Trevon Brown | — | — | — |
| Jalen Royals | Utah State | 2025 | 0.430 | unknown | Jalen Royals | 19 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Matt Landers | Arkansas | 2023 | 0.430 | unknown | Matt Landers | — | — | — |
| Antonio Gibson | Memphis | 2020 | 0.423 | starter | Antonio Gibson | 851 | 13.3 | 6 |
| Jonathan Mingo | Ole Miss | 2023 | 0.417 | bust | Jonathan Mingo | 126 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Jonathan Orr | Wisconsin | 2006 | 0.416 | unknown | Jonathan Orr | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.