College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Shedeur Sanders. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rhys Plumlee | UCF | 2024 | 0.546 | unknown | John Rhys Plumlee | — | — | — |
| Garrett Greene | West Virginia | 2025 | 0.454 | unknown | Garrett Greene | — | — | — |
| D'Eriq King | Miami | 2021 | 0.446 | unknown | D'Eriq King | — | — | — |
| Manny Wilkins | Arizona State | 2019 | 0.441 | unknown | Manny Wilkins | — | — | — |
| Trevor Knight | Texas A&M | 2017 | 0.434 | unknown | Trevor Knight | — | — | — |
| Ian Book | Notre Dame | 2021 | 0.423 | unknown | Ian Book | 2 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Keenan Reynolds | Navy | 2016 | 0.418 | unknown | Keenan Reynolds | — | — | — |
| Trace McSorley | Penn State | 2019 | 0.400 | bust | Trace McSorley | 18 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Davis Webb | California | 2017 | 0.396 | unknown | Davis Webb | 21 | 10.3 | 2 |
| Spencer Rattler | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.392 | unknown | Spencer Rattler | 166 | 10.3 | 2 |
| Russell Wilson | Wisconsin | 2012 | 0.391 | elite | Russell Wilson | 3765 | 21.7 | 14 |
| Colin Kaepernick | Nevada | 2011 | 0.390 | starter | Colin Kaepernick | 1001 | 16.8 | 6 |
| Haynes King | Colorado | 2026 | 0.388 | unknown | Haynes King | — | — | — |
| Matt Barkley | USC | 2013 | 0.388 | unknown | Matt Barkley | 106 | 10.1 | 7 |
| Kellen Mond | Texas A&M | 2021 | 0.386 | unknown | Kellen Mond | 0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Will Howard | Ohio State | 2025 | 0.385 | unknown | Will Howard | — | — | — |
| Taulia Tagovailoa | Maryland | 2024 | 0.385 | unknown | Taulia Tagovailoa | — | — | — |
| KJ Jefferson | UCF | 2025 | 0.384 | unknown | KJ Jefferson | — | — | — |
| Tyler Huntley | Utah | 2020 | 0.384 | unknown | Tyler Huntley | 317 | 11.6 | 7 |
| Kyle McCord | Syracuse | 2025 | 0.383 | unknown | Kyle McCord | — | — | — |
| Justin Herbert | Oregon | 2020 | 0.382 | elite | Justin Herbert | 1872 | 20.9 | 7 |
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2024 | 0.381 | unknown | Jordan Travis | — | — | — |
| Aaron Murray | Georgia | 2014 | 0.381 | unknown | Aaron Murray | — | — | — |
| Cameron Rising | Utah | 2023 | 0.379 | unknown | Cameron Rising | — | — | — |
| Jaxson Dart | Ole Miss | 2025 | 0.375 | starter | Jaxson Dart | 269 | 15.5 | 2 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.