Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Seth McGowan

RB · Kentucky · Class of 2026 · Model rank #361 (pos #97)
95
Projected career fp
3.0
Projected peak3 fp/g
1.8
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
8
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 8 career games

N = 8 games8 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 698 historical RBs who played at least 8 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Seth McGowan’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 8 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 8 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Seth McGowan this rookie202637 car · 163 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 4 rec · 12 re yds————
Audric Estimé202438 car · 179 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 3 rec · 9 re yds0.916active1053
LaMichael James201237 car · 162 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 4 rec · 33 re yds0.898bust294
Tyson Thompson200544 car · 180 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 3 rec · 16 re yds0.892bust373
Michael Turner200430 car · 129 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 4 rec · 8 re yds0.887starter1,2379
Joe McKnight201039 car · 189 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 3 rec · 20 re yds0.883bust1104
Tashard Choice200830 car · 147 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 4 rec · 22 re yds0.877depth3506
Ke'Shawn Vaughn202034 car · 140 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 5 rec · 34 re yds0.864bust775
Isaac Redman201029 car · 119 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 3 rec · 18 re yds0.852depth2384
Chris Rodriguez Jr.202341 car · 189 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 1 rec · 5 re yds0.848active2164
Ka'Deem Carey201430 car · 143 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 1 rec · 11 re yds0.841bust863
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Seth McGowan played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 7, Pick #237 — IND
KTC consensus. SF rank 453 (pos #115) — model delta ↑↑ +92. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is the pick-tier baseline for this position. No comps with meaningful NFL careers — the historical college players most similar to this prospect either didn't reach the NFL or only had cup-of-coffee stints (<200 career fp). The pick-tier baseline anchors the number to what players in this position+pick range historically produce. low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 11.62Final season fp/g: 13.14Peak season fp/g: 13.92Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Seth McGowan. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Tyler EbellUTEP20060.691unknownTyler Ebell———
Greg McCraeUCF20210.594unknownGreg McCrae———
Robert HenryUTSA20260.581unknownRobert Henry Jr.———
Darius AndersonTCU20200.567unknownDarius Anderson———
Ty'Son WilliamsBYU20200.558unknownTy'Son Williams433.72
Darnell WoolfolkArmy20190.557unknownDarnell Woolfolk———
DeaMonte TrayanumToledo20260.549unknownDeaMonte Trayanum———
Mike EpsteinIllinois20210.536unknownMike Epstein———
Keith FordTexas A&M20180.533unknownKeith Ford136.51
Tayon Fleet-DavisMaryland20220.519unknownTayon Fleet-Davis———
Mekhi SargentIowa20210.518unknownMekhi Sargent10.31
Brian LewisIndiana20040.516unknownBrian Lewis———
Chris EvansMichigan20190.507bustChris Evans652.53
Tre WatsonTexas20190.505unknownTre Watson———
La'Damian WebbSouth Alabama20240.503unknownLa'Damian Webb———
Jase McClellanAlabama20240.501unknownJase McClellan31.61
Micah BernardUtah20250.501unknownMicah Bernard———
Davon BoothMississippi State20260.500unknownDavon Booth———
Brandon PendergrassWake Forest20120.500unknownBrandon Pendergrass———
Josh WilliamsLSU20250.499unknownJosh Williams10.32
Gary BrightwellArizona20210.498bustGary Brightwell431.75
Gerrid DoaksCincinnati20210.498unknownGerrid Doaks———
Thomas TapehMinnesota20040.498bustThomas Tapeh562.14
Tra MinterSouth Alabama20200.488unknownTra Minter———
Braydon BennettCoastal Carolina20250.488unknownBraydon Bennett———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.