College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Riley Leonard. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lock | Missouri | 2019 | 0.625 | starter | Drew Lock | 445 | 14.9 | 7 |
| Brett Basanez | Northwestern | 2006 | 0.594 | unknown | Brett Basanez | 0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Philip Rivers | North Carolina State | 2004 | 0.570 | starter | Philip Rivers | 3845 | 17.9 | 18 |
| Matt Barkley | USC | 2013 | 0.570 | unknown | Matt Barkley | 106 | 10.1 | 7 |
| Spencer Sanders | Oklahoma State | 2023 | 0.567 | unknown | Spencer Sanders | — | — | — |
| Spencer Rattler | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.535 | unknown | Spencer Rattler | 166 | 10.3 | 2 |
| Diego Pavia | Vanderbilt | 2026 | 0.529 | unknown | Diego Pavia | — | — | — |
| Brian Brohm | Louisville | 2008 | 0.523 | unknown | Brian Brohm | -2 | -1.5 | 2 |
| Kellen Mond | Texas A&M | 2021 | 0.512 | unknown | Kellen Mond | 0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Nate Sudfeld | Indiana | 2016 | 0.502 | bust | Nate Sudfeld | 10 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Taulia Tagovailoa | Maryland | 2024 | 0.498 | unknown | Taulia Tagovailoa | — | — | — |
| Tommy Armstrong Jr. | Nebraska | 2017 | 0.492 | unknown | Tommy Armstrong Jr. | — | — | — |
| Max Duggan | TCU | 2023 | 0.491 | unknown | Max Duggan | — | — | — |
| Justin Herbert | Oregon | 2020 | 0.488 | elite | Justin Herbert | 1872 | 20.9 | 7 |
| B.J. Daniels | South Florida | 2013 | 0.485 | unknown | B.J. Daniels | — | — | — |
| Will Howard | Ohio State | 2025 | 0.479 | unknown | Will Howard | — | — | — |
| Tyrod Taylor | Virginia Tech | 2011 | 0.476 | starter | Tyrod Taylor | 1107 | 17.4 | 16 |
| Jordan Travis | Florida State | 2024 | 0.465 | unknown | Jordan Travis | — | — | — |
| Landry Jones | Oklahoma | 2013 | 0.463 | bust | Landry Jones | 64 | 3.6 | 3 |
| Aaron Murray | Georgia | 2014 | 0.458 | unknown | Aaron Murray | — | — | — |
| Davis Webb | California | 2017 | 0.455 | unknown | Davis Webb | 21 | 10.3 | 2 |
| David Blough | Purdue | 2019 | 0.453 | unknown | David Blough | 76 | 7.4 | 4 |
| Taylen Green | Arkansas | 2026 | 0.452 | unknown | Taylen Green | — | — | — |
| Trevor Knight | Texas A&M | 2017 | 0.448 | unknown | Trevor Knight | — | — | — |
| Kyle Orton | Purdue | 2005 | 0.447 | starter | Kyle Orton | 1007 | 14.8 | 9 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.