Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Matthew Hibner ⚠️ experimental

TE · SMU · Class of 2026 · Model rank #259 (pos #36)
210
Projected career fp
6.0
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.5
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
12
Comps w/ NFL data
v3.0 note — TE projections are preview-grade. The engine's TE Spearman ρ is 0.086 vs 0.27+ for QB/RB/WR. TE-specific feature weights are on the v3.1 roadmap. Use this comp grid as a directional indicator, not a hard projection. See methodology.
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NFL comparables — first 6 career games

N = 6 games6 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 515 historical TEs who played at least 6 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Matthew Hibner’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 6 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 6 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Matthew Hibner this rookie20268 tgt · 6 rec · 75 yds · 1 TD————
Davis Allen20237 tgt · 6 rec · 70 yds · 1 TD0.919active1314
Jackson Hawes20259 tgt · 7 rec · 87 yds · 1 TD0.885active542
Gavin Escobar201310 tgt · 5 rec · 70 yds · 1 TD0.852bust1094
Kory Sperry20099 tgt · 6 rec · 87 yds · 1 TD0.848bust304
Logan Thomas20147 tgt · 5 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD0.845depth5108
Logan Paulsen20108 tgt · 5 rec · 74 yds · 1 TD0.845depth2188
Clive Walford201511 tgt · 7 rec · 93 yds · 1 TD0.814depth1934
Josh Whyle202310 tgt · 6 rec · 60 yds · 1 TD0.808active983
Tommy Tremble202110 tgt · 5 rec · 54 yds · 1 TD0.807active3316
Seth DeValve201610 tgt · 8 rec · 94 yds · 1 TD0.806depth1565
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Matthew Hibner played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 4, Pick #133 — BAL
KTC consensus. SF rank 476 (pos #69) — model delta ↑↑ +217. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is the pick-tier baseline for this position. No comps with meaningful NFL careers — the historical college players most similar to this prospect either didn't reach the NFL or only had cup-of-coffee stints (<200 career fp). The pick-tier baseline anchors the number to what players in this position+pick range historically produce. low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 9.47Final season fp/g: 8.07Peak season fp/g: 10.87Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Matthew Hibner. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Ben SimsBaylor20230.695bustBen Sims262.03
Mitchell EvansNotre Dame20250.692unknownMitchell Evans713.42
Joe RoyerCincinnati20260.553unknownJoe Royer———
Noah TogiaiOregon State20200.540bustNoah Togiai00.03
Cary AngelineNC State20210.534unknownCary Angeline———
Mason FairchildKansas20240.518unknownMason Fairchild———
Grant CalcaterraSMU20220.511bustGrant Calcaterra1033.04
Miles KitselmanTennessee20260.500unknownMiles Kitselman———
Jalin ConyersTexas Tech20250.481unknownJalin Conyers———
Kole TaylorWest Virginia20250.464unknownKole Taylor———
Bryson NesbitNorth Carolina20250.462unknownBryson Nesbit———
Tanner McLachlanArizona20240.462unknownTanner McLachlan———
Erick AllIowa20240.440unknownErick All494.52
Corey DychesMaryland20240.438unknownCorey Dyches———
Jack VellingMichigan State20260.433unknownJack Velling———
Davis AllenClemson20230.430bustDavis Allen1314.04
Luke SchoonmakerMichigan20230.429bustLuke Schoonmaker1173.04
Jermaine Terry IIOregon State20250.420unknownJermaine Terry II———
Braden GallowayClemson20210.417unknownBraden Galloway———
John CopenhaverNorth Carolina20250.416unknownJohn Copenhaver———
Zach GentryMichigan20190.415bustZach Gentry692.23
Eli RaridonNotre Dame20260.413unknownEli Raridon426.01
Jake BriningstoolClemson20250.408unknownJake Briningstool40.91
Jared WileyTCU20240.406unknownJared Wiley31.22
Carsen RyanBYU20260.404unknownCarsen Ryan00.01

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.