College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Matt Corral. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeShone Kizer | Notre Dame | 2017 | 0.448 | unknown | DeShone Kizer | 181 | 6.8 | 2 |
| Trevone Boykin | TCU | 2016 | 0.414 | unknown | Trevone Boykin | 8 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Jake Waters | Kansas State | 2015 | 0.403 | unknown | Jake Waters | — | — | — |
| Bill Whittemore | Kansas | 2004 | 0.401 | unknown | Bill Whittemore | — | — | — |
| Zak Kustok | Northwestern | 2002 | 0.396 | unknown | Zak Kustok | — | — | — |
| Sam Bradford | Oklahoma | 2009 | 0.395 | starter | Sam Bradford | 1083 | 15.4 | 8 |
| Brandon Weeden | Oklahoma State | 2012 | 0.389 | unknown | Brandon Weeden | 342 | 11.1 | 5 |
| Walter Washington | Temple | 2005 | 0.383 | unknown | Walter Washington | — | — | — |
| Woodrow Dantzler | Clemson | 2002 | 0.382 | unknown | Woodrow Dantzler | — | — | — |
| Seth Doege | Texas Tech | 2013 | 0.375 | unknown | Seth Doege | — | — | — |
| Antwaan Randle El | Indiana | 2002 | 0.373 | unknown | Antwaan Randle El | — | — | — |
| Chad Kelly | Ole Miss | 2017 | 0.365 | unknown | Chad Kelly | -0 | -0.1 | 1 |
| Nick Marshall | Auburn | 2015 | 0.352 | unknown | Nick Marshall | — | — | — |
| Skyler Howard | West Virginia | 2017 | 0.349 | unknown | Skyler Howard | — | — | — |
| Bryce Petty | Baylor | 2015 | 0.342 | unknown | Bryce Petty | 58 | 5.8 | 2 |
| Joe Ganz | Nebraska | 2009 | 0.338 | unknown | Joe Ganz | — | — | — |
| Drake Maye | North Carolina | 2024 | 0.335 | elite | Drake Maye | 690 | 18.1 | 3 |
| Darron Thomas | Oregon | 2012 | 0.333 | unknown | Darron Thomas | — | — | — |
| Sam Leavitt | Arizona State | 2026 | 0.329 | unknown | Sam Leavitt | — | — | — |
| Anthony Richardson | Florida | 2023 | 0.321 | unknown | Anthony Richardson | 239 | 11.4 | 4 |
| Jesse Ertz | Kansas State | 2018 | 0.317 | unknown | Jesse Ertz | — | — | — |
| Terrel Hunt | Syracuse | 2015 | 0.315 | unknown | Terrel Hunt | — | — | — |
| Alex Smith | Utah | 2005 | 0.312 | starter | Alex Smith | 2316 | 17.9 | 14 |
| Joey Harrington | Oregon | 2002 | 0.294 | unknown | Joey Harrington | 772 | 10.6 | 6 |
| Taylor Potts | Texas Tech | 2011 | 0.289 | unknown | Taylor Potts | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.