Makai Lemon’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 8 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 8 career games | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makai Lemon this rookie | 2026 | 45 tgt · 31 rec · 251 yds · 1 TD | — | — | — | — |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | 2022 | 42 tgt · 32 rec · 288 yds · 1 TD | 0.854 | active | 663 | 5 |
| Greg Ward | 2019 | 48 tgt · 34 rec · 290 yds · 1 TD | 0.826 | depth | 225 | 3 |
| Keke Coutee | 2018 | 48 tgt · 31 rec · 305 yds · 1 TD | 0.808 | depth | 205 | 5 |
| Julian Edelman | 2009 | 37 tgt · 26 rec · 228 yds · 1 TD | 0.761 | elite | 1,552 | 11 |
| KJ Hamler | 2020 | 44 tgt · 25 rec · 275 yds · 1 TD | 0.753 | bust | 128 | 3 |
| David Boston | 1999 | 47 tgt · 24 rec · 249 yds · 1 TD | 0.747 | starter | 936 | 6 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 2023 | 43 tgt · 29 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD | 0.745 | active | 981 | 4 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 2020 | 39 tgt · 30 rec · 323 yds · 1 TD | 0.741 | depth | 387 | 5 |
| Tavon Austin | 2013 | 49 tgt · 31 rec · 207 yds · 2 TD | 0.728 | starter | 754 | 9 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | 2019 | 43 tgt · 30 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD | 0.723 | active | 1,418 | 8 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Makai Lemon. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simmie Cobbs Jr. | Indiana | 2018 | 0.764 | unknown | Simmie Cobbs | — | — | — |
| Jakobi Meyers | NC State | 2019 | 0.728 | starter | Jakobi Meyers | 1261 | 13.7 | 8 |
| Anquan Boldin | Florida State | 2003 | 0.608 | elite | Anquan Boldin | 2953 | 20.0 | 14 |
| Dillon Mitchell | Oregon | 2019 | 0.607 | unknown | Dillon Mitchell | — | — | — |
| Jerry Jeudy | Alabama | 2020 | 0.556 | starter | Jerry Jeudy | 983 | 12.5 | 7 |
| Hakeem Butler | Iowa State | 2019 | 0.529 | unknown | Hakeem Butler | 0 | 0.0 | 1 |
| Denzel Boston | Washington | 2026 | 0.506 | unknown | Denzel Boston | 87 | 10.9 | 1 |
| Isaiah Ford | Virginia Tech | 2017 | 0.498 | bust | Isaiah Ford | 144 | 5.4 | 4 |
| Rashad Greene | Florida State | 2014 | 0.496 | bust | Rashad Greene | 64 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Terrence Edwards | Georgia | 2003 | 0.491 | unknown | Terrence Edwards | 2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Reggie Newhouse | Baylor | 2003 | 0.489 | unknown | Reggie Newhouse | 10 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Desean Jackson | California | 2008 | 0.484 | starter | DeSean Jackson | 2204 | 17.6 | 15 |
| Isaiah Williams | Illinois | 2024 | 0.484 | bust | Isaiah Williams | 106 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Chris Collins | Ole Miss | 2004 | 0.483 | unknown | Chris Collins | — | — | — |
| Courtney Roby | Indiana | 2005 | 0.477 | bust | Courtney Roby | 80 | 2.6 | 8 |
| Michael Clayton | LSU | 2004 | 0.476 | unknown | Michael Clayton | 588 | 9.4 | 8 |
| Detron Lewis | Texas Tech | 2011 | 0.475 | unknown | Detron Lewis | — | — | — |
| Keon Coleman | Florida State | 2024 | 0.475 | unknown | Keon Coleman | 281 | 8.9 | 3 |
| KD Cannon | Baylor | 2017 | 0.468 | unknown | KD Cannon | — | — | — |
| CeeDee Lamb | Oklahoma | 2020 | 0.465 | elite | CeeDee Lamb | 1788 | 20.8 | 7 |
| J'Mon Moore | Missouri | 2018 | 0.465 | unknown | J'Mon Moore | 4 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Santonio Holmes | Ohio State | 2006 | 0.464 | starter | Santonio Holmes | 1213 | 14.4 | 9 |
| Brandon Lafell | LSU | 2010 | 0.463 | unknown | Brandon LaFell | 1143 | 11.8 | 9 |
| Dwayne Bowe | LSU | 2007 | 0.460 | starter | Dwayne Bowe | 1521 | 15.4 | 9 |
| Fred Ross | Mississippi State | 2017 | 0.459 | unknown | Fred Ross | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.