College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Luke McCaffrey. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Barnes | App State | 2026 | 0.556 | unknown | Jaden Barnes | — | — | — |
| Tyler Scott | Cincinnati | 2023 | 0.492 | unknown | Tyler Scott | 37 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Antonio Brown | Central Michigan | 2010 | 0.469 | elite | Antonio Brown | 2703 | 23.6 | 12 |
| Malachi Corley | Western Kentucky | 2024 | 0.468 | bust | Malachi Corley | 37 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Jalen Tolbert | South Alabama | 2022 | 0.467 | bust | Jalen Tolbert | 267 | 5.7 | 5 |
| Austin Franklin | New Mexico State | 2014 | 0.467 | unknown | Austin Franklin | — | — | — |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | Texas State | 2026 | 0.460 | unknown | Chris Dawn Jr. | — | — | — |
| Martin Nance | Miami (OH) | 2006 | 0.456 | unknown | Martin Nance | 7 | 7.3 | 1 |
| Pofele Ashlock | Hawai'i | 2026 | 0.456 | unknown | Pofele Ashlock | — | — | — |
| Devontez Walker | North Carolina | 2024 | 0.452 | bust | Devontez Walker | 64 | 3.7 | 3 |
| Linell Bonner | Houston | 2018 | 0.450 | unknown | Linell Bonner | — | — | — |
| Earvin Johnson | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2005 | 0.447 | unknown | Earvin Johnson | — | — | — |
| Shaq Washington | Cincinnati | 2016 | 0.447 | unknown | Shaq Washington | — | — | — |
| Noel Grigsby | San Jose State | 2013 | 0.445 | unknown | Noel Grigsby | — | — | — |
| Quez Watkins | Southern Miss | 2020 | 0.445 | unknown | Quez Watkins | 259 | 6.6 | 4 |
| Griffin Wilde | Northwestern | 2026 | 0.439 | unknown | Griffin Wilde | — | — | — |
| Calvin Austin III | Memphis | 2022 | 0.434 | bust | Calvin Austin III | 260 | 5.5 | 3 |
| Damaris Johnson | Tulsa | 2011 | 0.433 | bust | Damaris Johnson | 128 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Willie Snead | Ball State | 2014 | 0.430 | unknown | Willie Snead | 727 | 11.3 | 8 |
| Aldrick Robinson | SMU | 2011 | 0.429 | bust | Aldrick Robinson | 313 | 5.4 | 6 |
| Tre'Quan Smith | UCF | 2018 | 0.428 | unknown | Tre'Quan Smith | 416 | 8.1 | 5 |
| Chris Lewis | Troy | 2024 | 0.428 | unknown | Chris Lewis | — | — | — |
| Cory Rodgers | Texas Christian | 2006 | 0.424 | unknown | Cory Rodgers | — | — | — |
| Deven Thompkins | Utah State | 2022 | 0.423 | bust | Deven Thompkins | 60 | 2.0 | 5 |
| Lance Moore | Toledo | 2005 | 0.419 | starter | Lance Moore | 1141 | 13.5 | 10 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.