Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Kevin Concepcion

WR · Texas A&M · Class of 2026 · Model rank #54 (pos #29)
697
Projected career fp
7.1
Projected peak3 fp/g
4.4
Proj yrs in league
21.0
Age
14
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 8 career games

N = 8 games8 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 956 historical WRs who played at least 8 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Kevin Concepcion’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 8 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 8 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
KC Concepcion this rookie202649 tgt · 33 rec · 352 yds · 0 TD————
Jeremy Butler201544 tgt · 31 rec · 363 yds · 0 TD0.853bust702
Kadarius Toney202148 tgt · 35 rec · 392 yds · 0 TD0.850depth1944
Greg Salas201143 tgt · 31 rec · 353 yds · 0 TD0.846bust1355
Amon-Ra St. Brown202144 tgt · 31 rec · 311 yds · 0 TD0.820active1,5996
Rashod Bateman202147 tgt · 32 rec · 404 yds · 0 TD0.809active5176
Jamison Crowder201550 tgt · 38 rec · 342 yds · 0 TD0.804starter1,12010
Keke Coutee201848 tgt · 31 rec · 305 yds · 1 TD0.731depth2055
Greg Little201160 tgt · 31 rec · 295 yds · 0 TD0.730depth4014
Deebo Samuel Sr.201943 tgt · 30 rec · 339 yds · 1 TD0.728active1,4188
Devaughn Vele202441 tgt · 32 rec · 361 yds · 1 TD0.726active2593
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Kevin Concepcion played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 1, Pick #24 — CLE
KTC consensus. Not currently ranked on KTC. No delta available.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.50_pick_tier_baseline_R1”). With 6 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.50; we blend the comp-only projection (144) with the pick-tier baseline (1,250).

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 13.89Final season fp/g: 13.39Peak season fp/g: 19.07Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Kevin Concepcion. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Dres AndersonUtah20150.832unknownDres Anderson———
Chris HarperCalifornia20150.764unknownChris Harper281.92
Jonathan BaldwinPitt20110.648unknownJonathan Baldwin———
Jalen ReagorTCU20200.642bustJalen Reagor2355.25
Tres MosesRutgers20060.637unknownTres Moses———
Malcolm KellyOklahoma20080.634unknownMalcolm Kelly643.22
Seth WilliamsAuburn20210.633unknownSeth Williams44.41
Ty MontgomeryStanford20150.600unknownTy Montgomery44610.49
Keenan HowryOregon20030.579bustKeenan Howry50.23
Tamorrion TerryFlorida State20210.577unknownTamorrion Terry———
Derek MoyePenn State20120.546unknownDerek Moye102.51
Donte MoncriefOle Miss20140.544unknownDonte Moncrief59110.27
Calvin RidleyAlabama20180.538starterCalvin Ridley124816.08
Austin Seferian-JenkinsWashington20140.531unknownAustin Seferian-Jenkins———
Artavis ScottClemson20170.527unknownArtavis Scott———
Josh ReynoldsTexas A&M20170.523unknownJosh Reynolds6908.39
Dicky LyonsKentucky20090.512unknownDicky Lyons———
Jared KarstetterWashington State20120.504unknownJared Karstetter———
Lane DanielsenIowa State20040.502unknownLane Danielsen———
Mario UrrutiaLouisville20080.501unknownMario Urrutia———
Brian RobiskieOhio State20090.500bustBrian Robiskie1164.35
Antonio WilliamsClemson20260.498unknownAntonio Williams557.81
Jock SandersWest Virginia20110.484unknownJock Sanders———
Arrelious BennIllinois20100.483bustArrelious Benn2044.75
Dominique ZeiglerBaylor20070.480unknownDominique Zeigler342.32

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.