Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Kaytron Allen

RB · Penn State · Class of 2026 · Model rank #321 (pos #85)
142
Projected career fp
3.8
Projected peak3 fp/g
2.1
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
13
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 4 career games

N = 4 games4 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 788 historical RBs who played at least 4 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Kaytron Allen’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 4 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 4 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Kaytron Allen this rookie202612 car · 41 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds————
Damien Williams201412 car · 39 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.978depth5649
Gartrell Johnson200913 car · 43 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.973bust122
Jerald Moore200014 car · 44 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.946bust221
Patrick Taylor202112 car · 36 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.946bust834
Kenneth Farrow201611 car · 43 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.940bust371
Kevin McDougal200014 car · 41 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.932bust72
Rasheen Ali202410 car · 31 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.924active303
Josh Adams201811 car · 46 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.911bust1183
Gary Russell200713 car · 46 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 1 rec · -2 re yds0.906bust503
Lance Dunbar20129 car · 37 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 0 rec · 0 re yds0.902depth1916
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Kaytron Allen played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 6, Pick #187 — WAS
KTC consensus. SF rank 205 (pos #52) — model delta ↓↓ -116. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.58_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 7 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.58; we blend the comp-only projection (115) with the pick-tier baseline (180).

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 14.87Final season fp/g: 16.32Peak season fp/g: 16.32Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Kaytron Allen. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Sony MichelGeorgia20180.712unknownSony Michel5389.95
Keaontay IngramUSC20220.710bustKeaontay Ingram321.23
SaRodorick ThompsonTexas Tech20230.662unknownSaRodorick Thompson Jr.———
Chris DouglasDuke20040.643unknownChris Douglas———
Rich AlexisWashington20040.632unknownRich Alexis00.22
Andre BrownNorth Carolina State20090.631unknownAndre Brown2027.53
Devin MockobeePurdue20260.626unknownDevin Mockobee———
Nic GrigsbyArizona20110.625unknownNic Grigsby———
Ronnie McGillNorth Carolina20070.613unknownRonnie McGill———
Evan RoysterPenn State20110.610bustEvan Royster973.83
Andre EllingtonClemson20130.601unknownAndre Ellington53511.35
Alexander RobinsonIowa State20110.588unknownAlexander Robinson———
Jamal MorrowWashington State20180.569unknownJamal Morrow———
Roy Helu Jr.Nebraska20110.564unknownRoy Helu4389.25
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Kentucky20230.558unknownChris Rodriguez Jr.2166.34
Mike BellArizona20060.557unknownMike Bell2847.55
Jonah ColemanWashington20260.549unknownJonah Coleman4411.01
Dan HerronOhio State20120.547bustDan Herron1083.44
Zack AbronMissouri20040.546unknownZack Abron———
P.J. DanielsGeorgia Tech20060.530unknownP.J. Daniels———
Henry Parrish Jr.Ole Miss20250.510unknownHenry Parrish Jr.———
Jarquez HunterAuburn20250.509unknownJarquez Hunter———
Chris RaineyFlorida20120.507unknownChris Rainey401.32
Zac StacyVanderbilt20130.506unknownZac Stacy2788.53
Thomas BrownGeorgia20080.506unknownThomas Brown———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.