Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Jonah Coleman

RB · Washington · Class of 2026 · Model rank #252 (pos #66)
220
Projected career fp
4.5
Projected peak3 fp/g
2.8
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
16
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 4 career games

N = 4 games4 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 788 historical RBs who played at least 4 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Jonah Coleman’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 4 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 4 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Jonah Coleman this rookie202630 car · 134 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 9 rec · 97 re yds————
Jeremy Hill201428 car · 133 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 5 rec · 90 re yds0.721depth5775
Kevin Smith200837 car · 133 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 12 rec · 78 re yds0.719depth5985
Giovani Bernard201332 car · 147 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 12 rec · 122 re yds0.718starter1,25210
Ameer Abdullah201534 car · 115 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 9 rec · 83 re yds0.669active70412
Shaun Draughn201222 car · 119 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 10 rec · 95 re yds0.667depth2625
Ito Smith201821 car · 80 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 8 rec · 67 re yds0.667depth1984
DeShawn Wynn200723 car · 87 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 8 rec · 60 re yds0.662bust894
Derrius Guice201937 car · 203 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 7 rec · 79 re yds0.658bust571
Donald Brown200938 car · 132 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 5 rec · 125 re yds0.658starter6307
Woody Marks202529 car · 113 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 6 rec · 96 re yds0.651active2082
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Jonah Coleman played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 4, Pick #108 — DEN
KTC consensus. SF rank 146 (pos #35) — model delta ↓↓ -106. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.67_pick_tier_baseline_R4”). With 8 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.67; we blend the comp-only projection (170) with the pick-tier baseline (320).

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 14.07Final season fp/g: 18.68Peak season fp/g: 18.68Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Jonah Coleman. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Kentucky20230.963unknownChris Rodriguez Jr.2166.34
Zack AbronMissouri20040.780unknownZack Abron———
Ronnie BrownAuburn20050.779eliteRonnie Brown121018.010
Jarquez HunterAuburn20250.764unknownJarquez Hunter———
Jamal MorrowWashington State20180.739unknownJamal Morrow———
Thomas BrownGeorgia20080.727unknownThomas Brown———
Henry Parrish Jr.Ole Miss20250.684unknownHenry Parrish Jr.———
Alexander RobinsonIowa State20110.676unknownAlexander Robinson———
Zac StacyVanderbilt20130.653unknownZac Stacy2788.53
Ben TateAuburn20100.643unknownBen Tate4108.84
Sony MichelGeorgia20180.639unknownSony Michel5389.95
Ke'Shawn VaughnVanderbilt20200.631bustKe'Shawn Vaughn773.95
Eric GrayOklahoma20230.607bustEric Gray320.93
Chris DouglasDuke20040.603unknownChris Douglas———
Evan RoysterPenn State20110.593bustEvan Royster973.83
Andre EllingtonClemson20130.580unknownAndre Ellington53511.35
Jehuu CaulcrickMichigan State20080.560unknownJehuu Caulcrick00.11
Keaontay IngramUSC20220.554bustKeaontay Ingram321.23
Kaytron AllenPenn State20260.549unknownKaytron Allen41.01
Rich AlexisWashington20040.547unknownRich Alexis00.22
Andre BrownNorth Carolina State20090.542unknownAndre Brown2027.53
Dan HerronOhio State20120.539bustDan Herron1083.44
P.J. DanielsGeorgia Tech20060.534unknownP.J. Daniels———
Mike BellArizona20060.519unknownMike Bell2847.55
Demario RichardArizona State20180.513unknownDemario Richard———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.