Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Jalen Tolbert

WR · South Alabama · Class of 2022 · Model rank #169 (pos #82)
329
Projected career fp
5.4
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.3
Proj yrs in league
21.0
Age
16
Comps w/ NFL data
← back to Prospect Rankings
🏈 NFL Draft 2022: Round 3, Pick #88 — DAL
KTC consensus. SF rank 301 (pos #110) — model delta ↑↑ +132. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.50_pick_tier_baseline_R3”). With 6 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.50; we blend the comp-only projection (178) with the pick-tier baseline (480).

Projection Inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 12.51Final season fp/g: 15.04Peak season fp/g: 15.04Conf tier (last): G5_top

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Jalen Tolbert. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Linell BonnerHouston20180.786unknownLinell Bonner———
Noel GrigsbySan Jose State20130.764unknownNoel Grigsby———
Earvin JohnsonNevada-Las Vegas20050.738unknownEarvin Johnson———
Tre'Quan SmithUCF20180.658unknownTre'Quan Smith4168.15
Austin FranklinNew Mexico State20140.637unknownAustin Franklin———
Mitch MathewsBYU20160.609unknownMitch Mathews———
Pofele AshlockHawai'i20260.589unknownPofele Ashlock———
Shaq WashingtonCincinnati20160.589unknownShaq Washington———
Hank BaskettNew Mexico20060.546bustHank Baskett2215.55
Thomas SperbeckBoise State20170.538unknownThomas Sperbeck———
Noel ThomasUConn20170.528unknownNoel Thomas———
Deven ThompkinsUtah State20220.524bustDeven Thompkins602.05
Gabriel DavisUCF20200.517unknownGabe Davis68110.06
Martin NanceMiami (OH)20060.515unknownMartin Nance77.31
Malachi CorleyWestern Kentucky20240.493bustMalachi Corley371.23
Josh BoyceTexas Christian20130.489unknownJosh Boyce213.51
Antonio BrownCentral Michigan20100.482eliteAntonio Brown270323.612
Isaiah BurseFresno State20140.480unknownIsaiah Burse00.02
Jamari ThrashLouisville20240.476unknownJamari Thrash261.72
Aldrick RobinsonSMU20110.473bustAldrick Robinson3135.46
Robert HerronWyoming20140.471unknownRobert Herron183.01
Luke McCaffreyRice20240.467bustLuke McCaffrey862.83
Dante RidgewayBall State20050.465unknownDante Ridgeway54.61
Quez WatkinsSouthern Miss20200.463unknownQuez Watkins2596.64
Marko MitchellNevada20090.463unknownMarko Mitchell71.81

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.