Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Jalen Nailor

WR · Michigan State · Class of 2022 · Model rank #185 (pos #85)
308
Projected career fp
4.6
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.1
Proj yrs in league
20.0
Age
17
Comps w/ NFL data
← back to Prospect Rankings
🏈 NFL Draft 2022: Round 6, Pick #191 — MIN
KTC consensus. SF rank 227 (pos #90) — model delta ↑ +42. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.67_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 8 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.67; we blend the comp-only projection (377) with the pick-tier baseline (170).

Projection Inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 16.81Final season fp/g: 19.77Peak season fp/g: 19.77Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Jalen Nailor. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Jermaine GreshamOklahoma20090.656unknownJermaine Gresham———
Andre JohnsonMiami (FL)20030.618eliteAndre Johnson289620.314
Robert JohnsonTexas Tech20070.597unknownRobert Johnson———
Keith SmithPurdue20100.565unknownKeith Smith———
Jarvis LandryLSU20140.564starterJarvis Landry179416.19
Jerome RileyWashington State20030.561unknownJerome Riley———
Maurice PurifyNebraska20080.556unknownMaurice Purify00.01
Cody LatimerIndiana20140.548bustCody Latimer2025.46
Jeremiah SmithOhio State20260.547unknownJeremiah Smith———
Kahlil HillIowa20020.533unknownKahlil Hill00.01
Mario AlfordWest Virginia20150.532unknownMario Alford21.22
Chris HenryWest Virginia20050.526unknownChris Henry42611.05
Tandon DossIndiana20110.518bustTandon Doss812.43
Sam SimmonsNorthwestern20020.511unknownSam Simmons00.01
Elic AyomanorStanford20250.492unknownElic Ayomanor1576.12
Darren Carrington IIUtah20180.482unknownDarren Carrington II———
Pharoh CooperSouth Carolina20160.480bustPharoh Cooper1282.97
Kelley WashingtonTennessee20030.479unknownKelley Washington3427.08
Donte' StallworthTennessee20020.465starterDonte' Stallworth101813.010
Leonard HankersonMiami (FL)20110.450unknownLeonard Hankerson3049.15
ArDarius StewartAlabama20170.443unknownArDarius Stewart171.41
Nakoa McElrathWashington State20020.441unknownNakoa McElrath———
KJ HamlerPenn State20200.438bustKJ Hamler1285.33
D.K. MetcalfOle Miss20190.436starterDK Metcalf161115.18
Gabe MarksWashington State20140.434unknownGabe Marks———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.