College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Graham Mertz. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bentley | South Alabama | 2022 | 0.571 | unknown | Jake Bentley | — | — | — |
| Max Johnson | North Carolina | 2026 | 0.537 | unknown | Max Johnson | — | — | — |
| Tanner Morgan | Minnesota | 2023 | 0.528 | unknown | Tanner Morgan | — | — | — |
| Hudson Card | Purdue | 2025 | 0.487 | unknown | Hudson Card | — | — | — |
| Brandon Peters | Illinois | 2022 | 0.455 | unknown | Brandon Peters | — | — | — |
| Connor Bazelak | Bowling Green | 2025 | 0.442 | unknown | Connor Bazelak | — | — | — |
| Ryan Willis | Virginia Tech | 2020 | 0.431 | unknown | Ryan Willis | — | — | — |
| Alan Bowman | Oklahoma State | 2025 | 0.430 | unknown | Alan Bowman | — | — | — |
| Cody Hawkins | Colorado | 2011 | 0.427 | unknown | Cody Hawkins | — | — | — |
| James Blackman | Arkansas State | 2023 | 0.424 | unknown | James Blackman | — | — | — |
| D.J. Uiagalelei | Florida State | 2025 | 0.416 | unknown | DJ Uiagalelei | — | — | — |
| Charlie Whitehurst | Clemson | 2006 | 0.411 | unknown | Charlie Whitehurst | 157 | 9.7 | 7 |
| Zack Mills | Penn State | 2005 | 0.406 | unknown | Zack Mills | — | — | — |
| Athan Kaliakmanis | Rutgers | 2026 | 0.401 | unknown | Athan Kaliakmanis | 11 | 11.0 | 1 |
| Tyler Russell | Mississippi State | 2014 | 0.401 | unknown | Tyler Russell | — | — | — |
| Rudy Carpenter | Arizona State | 2009 | 0.400 | unknown | Rudy Carpenter | — | — | — |
| Sam B. Richardson | Iowa State | 2016 | 0.399 | unknown | Sam B. Richardson | — | — | — |
| Behren Morton | Texas Tech | 2026 | 0.394 | unknown | Behren Morton | — | — | — |
| Bret Meyer | Iowa State | 2008 | 0.389 | unknown | Bret Meyer | — | — | — |
| K.J. Costello | Mississippi State | 2021 | 0.387 | unknown | K.J. Costello | — | — | — |
| Chad Henne | Michigan | 2008 | 0.386 | starter | Chad Henne | 697 | 12.4 | 13 |
| Phil Jurkovec | Pittsburgh | 2024 | 0.386 | unknown | Phil Jurkovec | — | — | — |
| Zach Smith | Tulsa | 2021 | 0.382 | unknown | Zach Smith | — | — | — |
| Willie Tuitama | Arizona | 2009 | 0.381 | unknown | Willie Tuitama | — | — | — |
| Curtis Painter | Purdue | 2009 | 0.379 | bust | Curtis Painter | 66 | 1.8 | 3 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.