Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Fernando Mendoza

QB · Indiana · Class of 2026 · Model rank #2 (pos #2)
2682
Projected career fp
11.6
Projected peak3 fp/g
6.5
Proj yrs in league
21.0
Age
10
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 1 career game

N = 1 game1 game is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 340 historical QBs who played at least 1 career game. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Fernando Mendoza’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 1 career game looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 1 career game Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Fernando Mendoza this rookie20266 cmp · 8 att · 48 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 3 ru yds————
Dominique Davis20135 cmp · 7 att · 34 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0 ru yds0.889bust11
Blaine Gabbert20115 cmp · 6 att · 52 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 1 ru yds0.883depth55012
Mike Kafka20117 cmp · 9 att · 72 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 2 ru yds0.871bust01
Jordan Love20215 cmp · 7 att · 68 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0 ru yds0.870active9526
Tarvaris Jackson20063 cmp · 4 att · 35 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 2 ru yds0.867depth4529
Ryan Nassib20144 cmp · 5 att · 60 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0 ru yds0.866bust92
Todd Collins20013 cmp · 4 att · 40 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 6 ru yds0.863bust648
Marques Tuiasosopo20013 cmp · 4 att · 34 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 1 ru yds0.860bust206
Quinn Ewers20255 cmp · 8 att · 53 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 0 ru yds0.853active332
Cory Sauter20026 cmp · 9 att · 59 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · 8 ru yds0.848bust31
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Fernando Mendoza played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 1, Pick #1 — LVR
KTC consensus. SF rank 42 (pos #14) — model delta ↑ +40. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.17_pick_tier_baseline_R1_top10”). With 2 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.17; we blend the comp-only projection (92) with the pick-tier baseline (3,200). low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 17.02Final season fp/g: 15.93Peak season fp/g: 18.15Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Fernando Mendoza. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Bryn RennerNorth Carolina20140.895unknownBryn Renner———
Drew TateIowa20070.804unknownDrew Tate———
Noah FifitaArizona20260.781unknownNoah Fifita———
Rasheed MarshallWest Virginia20050.751unknownRasheed Marshall———
Asad Abdul-KhaliqMinnesota20040.703unknownAsad Abdul-Khaliq———
Brooks BollingerWisconsin20030.683bustBrooks Bollinger1214.95
Austen ArnaudIowa State20110.678unknownAusten Arnaud———
Connor CookMichigan State20160.674unknownConnor Cook66.01
Jason GesserWashington State20030.656unknownJason Gesser———
John NavarreMichigan20040.647unknownJohn Navarre125.82
A.J. McCarronAlabama20140.639unknownA.J. McCarron———
Anthony ColandreaUNLV20260.630unknownAnthony Colandrea———
Jake RudockMichigan20160.630unknownJake Rudock-1-0.31
Justin ThomasGeorgia Tech20170.597unknownJustin Thomas———
Sean RenfreeDuke20130.587unknownSean Renfree-2-1.01
Tyler PalkoPitt20070.584unknownTyler Palko272.62
Jake RetzlaffTulane20260.567unknownJake Retzlaff———
Quinn EwersTexas20250.566unknownQuinn Ewers344.32
Teddy BridgewaterLouisville20140.562starterTeddy Bridgewater96014.810
Bryan RandallVirginia Tech20050.561unknownBryan Randall———
Matt SchaubVirginia20040.553starterMatt Schaub142116.416
Brad KaayaMiami20170.547unknownBrad Kaaya———
Cody PickettWashington20040.540unknownCody Pickett40.32
Maty MaukMissouri20160.532unknownMaty Mauk———
Christian HackenbergPenn State20160.528unknownChristian Hackenberg———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.