Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Emmett Johnson

RB · Nebraska · Class of 2026 · Model rank #270 (pos #70)
186
Projected career fp
4.6
Projected peak3 fp/g
2.8
Proj yrs in league
21.0
Age
20
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 7 career games

N = 7 games7 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 712 historical RBs who played at least 7 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Emmett Johnson’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 7 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 7 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Emmett Johnson this rookie202620 car · 77 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 14 rec · 237 re yds————
Joique Bell201023 car · 91 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 16 rec · 194 re yds0.719starter6786
Kenneth Darby200731 car · 129 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 19 rec · 190 re yds0.685bust1414
Chris Perry200428 car · 122 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 21 rec · 173 re yds0.630depth2084
Charles Sims201448 car · 116 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 18 rec · 184 re yds0.624depth3824
C.J. Prosise201634 car · 183 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 17 rec · 208 re yds0.624bust1245
Lamar Gordon200232 car · 121 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 15 rec · 151 re yds0.616depth2105
Devonta Freeman201423 car · 98 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 19 rec · 146 re yds0.613starter1,2828
J.D. McKissic201622 car · 94 ru yds · 1 ru TD · 15 rec · 142 re yds0.608depth5597
Darrel Williams201830 car · 119 ru yds · 2 ru TD · 12 rec · 169 re yds0.587depth3545
Brashard Smith202522 car · 67 ru yds · 0 ru TD · 14 rec · 122 re yds0.582active652
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Emmett Johnson played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 5, Pick #161 — KAN
KTC consensus. SF rank 202 (pos #51) — model delta ↓↓ -68. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.50_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 6 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.50; we blend the comp-only projection (193) with the pick-tier baseline (180).

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 13.66Final season fp/g: 22.12Peak season fp/g: 22.12Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Emmett Johnson. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Eddie LacyAlabama20130.832starterEddie Lacy72714.25
Jordan JamesOregon20250.810unknownJordan James41.11
Alex BarnesKansas State20190.768unknownAlex Barnes———
Kendre MillerTCU20230.614bustKendre Miller1445.84
Hassan HaskinsMichigan20220.599bustHassan Haskins691.83
Wendell SmallwoodWest Virginia20160.588unknownWendell Smallwood2516.15
Vernand MorencyOklahoma State20050.587bustVernand Morency1925.53
Rajion NealTennessee20140.570unknownRajion Neal———
Jordan TodmanConnecticut20110.551bustJordan Todman1603.66
Jeremiyah LoveNotre Dame20260.548unknownJeremiyah Love538.91
Josh RobinsonMississippi State20150.535unknownJosh Robinson112.21
Bilal PowellLouisville20110.529unknownBilal Powell85411.49
Antonio PittmanOhio State20070.519unknownAntonio Pittman794.32
Justin ForsettCalifornia20080.505starterJustin Forsett85212.79
Cory RossNebraska20060.500unknownCory Ross131.62
Antoineo HarrisIllinois20030.498unknownAntoineo Harris———
Mike DavisSouth Carolina20150.497unknownMike Davis58110.58
Hugh CharlesColorado20080.487unknownHugh Charles———
David WilsonVirginia Tech20120.482unknownDavid Wilson974.42
Tanardo SharpsTemple20030.478unknownTanardo Sharps———
Trevor EtienneGeorgia20250.473unknownTrevor Etienne181.22
John KellyTennessee20180.469bustJohn Kelly141.74
DJ GiddensKansas State20250.467unknownDJ Giddens143.12
Chris WellsOhio State20090.461unknownChris Wells4389.54
Josh AdamsNotre Dame20180.457bustJosh Adams1203.83

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.