Eli Stowers’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 2 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 2 career games | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Stowers this rookie | 2026 | 4 tgt · 3 rec · 53 yds · 0 TD | — | — | — | — |
| Deon Yelder | 2019 | 3 tgt · 3 rec · 50 yds · 0 TD | 0.851 | bust | 20 | 3 |
| Ladarius Green | 2012 | 4 tgt · 4 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD | 0.780 | depth | 282 | 5 |
| Peyton Hendershot | 2022 | 3 tgt · 3 rec · 43 yds · 0 TD | 0.770 | bust | 57 | 3 |
| Irv Smith | 2019 | 5 tgt · 4 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD | 0.755 | depth | 264 | 4 |
| Vance McDonald | 2013 | 4 tgt · 2 rec · 44 yds · 0 TD | 0.743 | depth | 471 | 8 |
| Cooper Helfet | 2014 | 3 tgt · 2 rec · 43 yds · 0 TD | 0.725 | bust | 68 | 2 |
| Elijah Arroyo | 2025 | 4 tgt · 3 rec · 38 yds · 0 TD | 0.725 | active | 40 | 2 |
| Mickey Shuler | 2010 | 5 tgt · 2 rec · 44 yds · 0 TD | 0.725 | bust | 6 | 2 |
| Brian Natkin | 2001 | 3 tgt · 2 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD | 0.724 | bust | 6 | 1 |
| Will Tye | 2015 | 5 tgt · 4 rec · 48 yds · 0 TD | 0.721 | depth | 206 | 3 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Eli Stowers. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Trigg | Baylor | 2026 | 0.538 | unknown | Michael Trigg | — | — | — |
| Will Mallory | Miami | 2023 | 0.484 | bust | Will Mallory | 52 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Jake Briningstool | Clemson | 2025 | 0.468 | unknown | Jake Briningstool | 4 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Sam Roush | Stanford | 2026 | 0.466 | unknown | Sam Roush | 6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Sam LaPorta | Iowa | 2023 | 0.465 | starter | Sam LaPorta | 607 | 12.7 | 4 |
| Jared Wiley | TCU | 2024 | 0.432 | unknown | Jared Wiley | 3 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Tony Poljan | Virginia | 2021 | 0.427 | unknown | Tony Poljan | — | — | — |
| Corey Dyches | Maryland | 2024 | 0.423 | unknown | Corey Dyches | — | — | — |
| Erick All | Iowa | 2024 | 0.422 | unknown | Erick All | 49 | 4.5 | 2 |
| Josh Oliver | San José State | 2019 | 0.420 | bust | Josh Oliver | 243 | 4.7 | 7 |
| Tanner McLachlan | Arizona | 2024 | 0.412 | unknown | Tanner McLachlan | — | — | — |
| Bryson Nesbit | North Carolina | 2025 | 0.410 | unknown | Bryson Nesbit | — | — | — |
| Payne Durham | Purdue | 2023 | 0.409 | bust | Payne Durham | 49 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Peyton Hendershot | Indiana | 2022 | 0.392 | bust | Peyton Hendershot | 57 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Brayden Willis | Oklahoma | 2023 | 0.390 | bust | Brayden Willis | 0 | 0.0 | 4 |
| Keanu Hill | BYU | 2023 | 0.383 | unknown | Keanu Hill | — | — | — |
| Justin Joly | NC State | 2026 | 0.380 | unknown | Justin Joly | — | — | — |
| Tanner Koziol | Houston | 2026 | 0.379 | unknown | Tanner Koziol | 5 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Jalin Conyers | Texas Tech | 2025 | 0.375 | unknown | Jalin Conyers | — | — | — |
| Kamari Morales | Boston College | 2025 | 0.374 | unknown | Kamari Morales | — | — | — |
| Grant Calcaterra | SMU | 2022 | 0.371 | bust | Grant Calcaterra | 103 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Luke Schoonmaker | Michigan | 2023 | 0.361 | bust | Luke Schoonmaker | 117 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Harrison Bryant | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 0.361 | bust | Harrison Bryant | 244 | 4.6 | 6 |
| Josiah Deguara | Cincinnati | 2020 | 0.361 | bust | Josiah Deguara | 118 | 3.1 | 6 |
| Trey Knox | South Carolina | 2024 | 0.358 | unknown | Trey Knox | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.