College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Carson Beck. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Allar | Penn State | 2026 | 0.703 | unknown | Drew Allar | — | — | — |
| Will Rogers | Washington | 2025 | 0.588 | unknown | Will Rogers | — | — | — |
| Chandler Morris | Virginia | 2026 | 0.493 | unknown | Chandler Morris | — | — | — |
| Tyler Van Dyke | Miami | 2024 | 0.489 | unknown | Tyler Van Dyke | — | — | — |
| Sawyer Robertson | Baylor | 2026 | 0.487 | unknown | Sawyer Robertson | — | — | — |
| Stephen Morris | Miami (FL) | 2014 | 0.480 | unknown | Stephen Morris | — | — | — |
| Andrew Ford | Massachusetts | 2019 | 0.467 | unknown | Andrew Ford | — | — | — |
| Sam B. Richardson | Iowa State | 2016 | 0.459 | unknown | Sam B. Richardson | — | — | — |
| Miller Moss | Louisville | 2026 | 0.458 | unknown | Miller Moss | — | — | — |
| Brandon Wimbush | Michigan | 2019 | 0.444 | unknown | Brandon Wimbush | — | — | — |
| Phil Jurkovec | Pittsburgh | 2024 | 0.440 | unknown | Phil Jurkovec | — | — | — |
| Jeff Sims | Arizona State | 2026 | 0.439 | unknown | Jeff Sims | — | — | — |
| Jared Lorenzen | Kentucky | 2004 | 0.431 | unknown | Jared Lorenzen | 2 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Sean Mannion | Oregon State | 2015 | 0.431 | bust | Sean Mannion | 17 | 5.1 | 6 |
| Darian Durant | North Carolina | 2005 | 0.429 | unknown | Darian Durant | — | — | — |
| Luke Altmyer | Illinois | 2026 | 0.422 | unknown | Luke Altmyer | — | — | — |
| Rudy Carpenter | Arizona State | 2009 | 0.421 | unknown | Rudy Carpenter | — | — | — |
| Donovan Smith | Houston | 2025 | 0.419 | unknown | Donovan Smith | — | — | — |
| Kyron Drones | Virginia Tech | 2026 | 0.417 | unknown | Kyron Drones | — | — | — |
| Armani Rogers | UNLV | 2020 | 0.415 | unknown | Armani Rogers | — | — | — |
| Cade Klubnik | Clemson | 2026 | 0.410 | unknown | Cade Klubnik | — | — | — |
| Behren Morton | Texas Tech | 2026 | 0.407 | unknown | Behren Morton | — | — | — |
| Robby Ashford | Wake Forest | 2026 | 0.403 | unknown | Robby Ashford | — | — | — |
| Chris Leak | Florida | 2007 | 0.401 | unknown | Chris Leak | — | — | — |
| Sam Keller | Nebraska | 2008 | 0.397 | unknown | Sam Keller | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.