Carsen Ryan’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 2 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 2 career games | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carsen Ryan this rookie | 2026 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | — | — | — | — |
| Larry Brown | 1999 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 1 |
| Steve Heiden | 1999 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | depth | 450 | 11 |
| James Dearth | 1999 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 10 | 8 |
| John Jones | 2000 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 20 | 4 |
| Mondriel Fulcher | 2000 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 3 |
| Brody Liddiard | 2000 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 4 |
| Dan O'Leary | 2001 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 1 |
| Sean McDermott | 2001 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 3 |
| Randal Williams | 2001 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 86 | 6 |
| Ryan Prince | 2001 | 0 tgt · 0 rec · 0 yds · 0 TD | 1.000 | bust | 0 | 1 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Carsen Ryan. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravian Pierce | Syracuse | 2018 | 0.962 | unknown | Ravian Pierce | — | — | — |
| Eli Raridon | Notre Dame | 2026 | 0.889 | unknown | Eli Raridon | 42 | 6.0 | 1 |
| Zach Gentry | Michigan | 2019 | 0.861 | bust | Zach Gentry | 69 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Braden Galloway | Clemson | 2021 | 0.836 | unknown | Braden Galloway | — | — | — |
| Jermaine Terry II | Oregon State | 2025 | 0.785 | unknown | Jermaine Terry II | — | — | — |
| Curtis Hodges | Arizona State | 2022 | 0.742 | unknown | Curtis Hodges | — | — | — |
| Michael Ezeike | UCLA | 2023 | 0.714 | unknown | Michael Ezeike | — | — | — |
| Jack Freudenthal | Wake Forest | 2020 | 0.702 | unknown | Jack Freudenthal | — | — | — |
| George Takacs | Boston College | 2023 | 0.643 | unknown | George Takacs | — | — | — |
| Dallen Bentley | Utah | 2026 | 0.621 | unknown | Dallen Bentley | — | — | — |
| Johnny Langan | Rutgers | 2023 | 0.620 | unknown | Johnny Langan | — | — | — |
| Trae Barry | Boston College | 2022 | 0.618 | unknown | Trae Barry | — | — | — |
| Keyan Burnett | Arizona | 2025 | 0.616 | unknown | Keyan Burnett | — | — | — |
| Matt Seybert | Michigan State | 2020 | 0.600 | unknown | Matt Seybert | — | — | — |
| Tyler Petite | USC | 2018 | 0.512 | unknown | Tyler Petite | — | — | — |
| Kole Taylor | West Virginia | 2025 | 0.497 | unknown | Kole Taylor | — | — | — |
| Stephen Sullivan | LSU | 2019 | 0.491 | bust | Stephen Sullivan | 31 | 1.1 | 5 |
| Davis Allen | Clemson | 2023 | 0.482 | bust | Davis Allen | 131 | 4.0 | 4 |
| Mason Fairchild | Kansas | 2024 | 0.482 | unknown | Mason Fairchild | — | — | — |
| Gabe Nabers | Florida State | 2020 | 0.476 | unknown | Gabe Nabers | 26 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Sean McKeon | Michigan | 2018 | 0.467 | bust | Sean McKeon | 16 | 1.2 | 4 |
| John Copenhaver | North Carolina | 2025 | 0.462 | unknown | John Copenhaver | — | — | — |
| Cary Angeline | NC State | 2021 | 0.455 | unknown | Cary Angeline | — | — | — |
| Ben Sims | Baylor | 2023 | 0.444 | bust | Ben Sims | 26 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Briley Moore | Kansas State | 2021 | 0.439 | unknown | Briley Moore | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.