Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Caleb Douglas

WR · Texas Tech · Class of 2026 · Model rank #97 (pos #51)
480
Projected career fp
7.5
Projected peak3 fp/g
4.5
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
4
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 4 career games

N = 4 games4 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 1,083 historical WRs who played at least 4 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Caleb Douglas’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 4 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 4 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Caleb Douglas this rookie202619 tgt · 13 rec · 226 yds · 2 TD————
Travis Fulgham201919 tgt · 12 rec · 209 yds · 2 TD0.874bust1162
Michael Wilson202316 tgt · 14 rec · 237 yds · 2 TD0.841active5664
Denarius Moore201120 tgt · 12 rec · 199 yds · 2 TD0.824depth4735
Victor Cruz201118 tgt · 11 rec · 225 yds · 2 TD0.819starter9025
Corey Coleman201625 tgt · 13 rec · 231 yds · 2 TD0.766depth1713
Jordan Addison202320 tgt · 13 rec · 185 yds · 2 TD0.756active6164
Jeremy Maclin200923 tgt · 13 rec · 193 yds · 2 TD0.754starter1,4868
A.J. Brown201917 tgt · 10 rec · 223 yds · 2 TD0.742active1,6858
Jayden Reed202325 tgt · 12 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD0.739active4674
Cooper Kupp201721 tgt · 14 rec · 186 yds · 2 TD0.736active1,93710
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Caleb Douglas played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 3, Pick #75 — MIA
KTC consensus. SF rank 420 (pos #158) — model delta ↑↑ +323. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is the pick-tier baseline for this position. No comps with meaningful NFL careers — the historical college players most similar to this prospect either didn't reach the NFL or only had cup-of-coffee stints (<200 career fp). The pick-tier baseline anchors the number to what players in this position+pick range historically produce. low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 11.79Final season fp/g: 9.85Peak season fp/g: 13.73Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Caleb Douglas. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
K.D. NixonColorado20200.869unknownK.D. Nixon———
Donavan HaleIndiana20200.654unknownDonavan Hale———
Da'Quan FeltonVirginia Tech20250.618unknownDa'Quan Felton———
Jonathan NanceMissouri20200.574unknownJonathan Nance———
DT SheffieldRutgers20260.565unknownDT Sheffield———
Noah ThomasTexas A&M20250.564unknownNoah Thomas———
A.J. HenningNorthwestern20250.561unknownA.J. Henning———
Jake SmithTexas20210.550unknownJake Smith———
Ramel KeytonTennessee20240.549unknownRamel Keyton20.61
Keyshawn HeltonFlorida State20220.548unknownKeyshawn Helton———
Josh ImatorbhebheIllinois20210.546unknownJosh Imatorbhebhe———
Kyric McGowanGeorgia Tech20220.545unknownKyric McGowan———
Montorie FosterMichigan State20250.541unknownMontorie Foster Jr00.01
Frank DarbyArizona State20200.527unknownFrank Darby51.62
Chris PierceVanderbilt20220.525unknownChris Pierce———
Theo HowardUCLA20190.522unknownTheo Howard———
La'Michael PettwayIowa State20200.520unknownLa'Michael Pettway———
Tony EllisonArizona20190.516unknownTony Ellison———
Terrell BynumWashington20220.513unknownTerrell Bynum———
Devonte RossPenn State20260.502unknownDevonte Ross———
Trent WalkerOregon State20260.498unknownTrent Walker———
Elijah HigginsStanford20230.491bustElijah Higgins1814.04
Jaylon ReddOregon20210.489unknownJaylon Redd———
Trevon BradfordOregon State20220.479unknownTrevon Bradford———
Terrell JanaVirginia20210.477unknownTerrell Jana———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.