College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match C.J. Stroud. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Hall | BYU | 2023 | 0.921 | unknown | Jaren Hall | 2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Malik Willis | Liberty | 2022 | 0.765 | unknown | Malik Willis | 227 | 12.0 | 5 |
| Jett Duffey | Texas Tech | 2020 | 0.604 | unknown | Jett Duffey | — | — | — |
| Bryce Young | Alabama | 2023 | 0.494 | starter | Bryce Young | 696 | 15.2 | 4 |
| Matt Leinart | USC | 2006 | 0.489 | unknown | Matt Leinart | 195 | 6.8 | 6 |
| Todd Reesing | Kansas | 2010 | 0.478 | unknown | Todd Reesing | — | — | — |
| Connor Shaw | South Carolina | 2014 | 0.472 | unknown | Connor Shaw | 4 | 4.0 | 1 |
| Daniel Jones | Duke | 2019 | 0.465 | starter | Daniel Jones | 1341 | 17.3 | 8 |
| Jared Goff | California | 2016 | 0.464 | elite | Jared Goff | 2638 | 19.6 | 11 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | Alabama | 2020 | 0.456 | starter | Tua Tagovailoa | 1159 | 16.7 | 7 |
| Andrew Luck | Stanford | 2012 | 0.456 | elite | Andrew Luck | 1687 | 21.0 | 6 |
| Steven Angeli | Syracuse | 2026 | 0.456 | unknown | Steven Angeli | — | — | — |
| Brendan Sorsby | Cincinnati | 2026 | 0.448 | unknown | Brendan Sorsby | — | — | — |
| Taylor Kelly | Arizona State | 2015 | 0.438 | unknown | Taylor Kelly | — | — | — |
| Chase Daniel | Missouri | 2009 | 0.433 | unknown | Chase Daniel | 108 | 6.7 | 13 |
| Josh Rosen | UCLA | 2018 | 0.431 | bust | Josh Rosen | 128 | 3.5 | 3 |
| Will Rogers | Mississippi State | 2022 | 0.418 | unknown | Will Rogers | — | — | — |
| Trevor Lawrence | Clemson | 2021 | 0.417 | elite | Trevor Lawrence | 1388 | 18.6 | 6 |
| John Mateer | Oklahoma | 2026 | 0.417 | unknown | John Mateer | — | — | — |
| Terrelle Pryor | Ohio State | 2011 | 0.416 | unknown | Terrelle Pryor | — | — | — |
| Bo Nix | Auburn | 2022 | 0.403 | starter | Bo Nix | 737 | 17.0 | 3 |
| Kellen Clemens | Oregon | 2006 | 0.403 | unknown | Kellen Clemens | 215 | 9.6 | 12 |
| Jerrod Johnson | Texas A&M; | 2011 | 0.395 | unknown | Jerrod Johnson | — | — | — |
| Bo Wallace | Ole Miss | 2015 | 0.393 | unknown | Bo Wallace | — | — | — |
| Tyler Bray | Tennessee | 2013 | 0.389 | unknown | Tyler Bray | -1 | -0.6 | 2 |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.