Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Bryce Lance

WR · North Dakota State · Class of 2026 · Model rank #195 (pos #87)
300
Projected career fp
6.0
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.5
Proj yrs in league
20.0
Age
2
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 7 career games

N = 7 games7 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 982 historical WRs who played at least 7 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Bryce Lance’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 7 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 7 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Bryce Lance this rookie202622 tgt · 9 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD————
James Washington201822 tgt · 8 rec · 77 yds · 1 TD0.931depth3425
Ja'Lynn Polk202426 tgt · 10 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD0.880bust331
Andy Jones201724 tgt · 11 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD0.876bust252
Juron Criner201220 tgt · 10 rec · 101 yds · 1 TD0.871bust432
R.Jay Soward200028 tgt · 10 rec · 89 yds · 1 TD0.841bust381
Jeremy Kerley201115 tgt · 9 rec · 82 yds · 1 TD0.828starter6718
Dee Eskridge202117 tgt · 9 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD0.821active605
Tavarres King201419 tgt · 9 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD0.821bust713
Chimere Dike202522 tgt · 13 rec · 96 yds · 1 TD0.817active1462
Tyquan Thornton202224 tgt · 12 rec · 117 yds · 1 TD0.808active2285
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Bryce Lance played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 4, Pick #136 — NOR
KTC consensus. SF rank 396 (pos #148) — model delta ↑↑ +201. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is the pick-tier baseline for this position. No comps with meaningful NFL careers — the historical college players most similar to this prospect either didn't reach the NFL or only had cup-of-coffee stints (<200 career fp). The pick-tier baseline anchors the number to what players in this position+pick range historically produce. low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 8.75Final season fp/g: 8.43Peak season fp/g: 9.06Conf tier (last): FCS

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Bryce Lance. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Cam PedroSoutheast Missouri State20260.925unknownCam Pedro———
Christian JourdainEast Texas A&M20260.870unknownChristian Jourdain———
Romon CopelandAustin Peay20250.774unknownRomon Copeland———
Nicholas DunnemanGeorgetown20250.773unknownNicholas Dunneman———
Cincere GillPresbyterian20260.767unknownCincere Gill———
Darius LewisSE Louisiana20250.765unknownDarius Lewis———
Jasiah WilliamsStony Brook20250.744unknownJasiah Williams———
Kolbe KatsisNorthern Arizona20260.684unknownKolbe Katsis00.01
Christian AnayaWestern Illinois20260.674unknownChristian Anaya———
Dawson SnyderSt. Francis (PA)20240.634unknownDawson Snyder———
Carter RunyonTowson20250.634unknownCarter Runyon10.41
Taco DowlerMontana State20260.626unknownTaco Dowler———
Brayden SmithMercer20260.597unknownBrayden Smith———
Logan TomlinsonNew Hampshire20250.596unknownLogan Tomlinson———
John DunmoreTowson20260.578unknownJohn Dunmore———
Trevonte RuckerUT Martin20250.566unknownTrevonte Rucker———
Gabe NunezSouthern Utah20260.559unknownGabe Nunez———
Michael BriscoeCal Poly20260.554unknownMichael Briscoe———
Carver CheeksNorthern Colorado20260.548unknownCarver Cheeks———
Brayden MunroeNorthern Colorado20260.546unknownBrayden Munroe———
Tsion NunnallyIdaho State20260.539unknownTsion Nunnally———
Nathan RembertJackson State20260.538unknownNathan Rembert———
Reed SwansonColgate20260.538unknownReed Swanson———
Anderson GroverSacramento State20250.537unknownAnderson Grover———
Tedy AffulDuquesne20250.533unknownTedy Afful———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.