Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Brenen Thompson

WR · Mississippi State · Class of 2026 · Model rank #214 (pos #96)
268
Projected career fp
5.3
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.1
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
8
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 1 career game

N = 1 game1 game is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 1,302 historical WRs who played at least 1 career game. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Brenen Thompson’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 1 career game looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 1 career game Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Brenen Thompson this rookie20263 tgt · 1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD————
Jordan White20123 tgt · 1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD1.000bust21
Kirk Merritt20213 tgt · 1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD1.000bust21
Grant DuBose20243 tgt · 1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD1.000bust31
Scotty Anderson20013 tgt · 1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD0.956depth1643
Greg Little20113 tgt · 1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD0.956depth4014
Frank Darby20213 tgt · 1 rec · 14 yds · 0 TD0.956bust52
Mac Cody19993 tgt · 1 rec · 11 yds · 0 TD0.916bust562
Brian Finneran19993 tgt · 1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD0.878starter65510
Damaris Johnson20123 tgt · 1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD0.878bust1224
Chris Moore20162 tgt · 1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD0.842active41810
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Brenen Thompson played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 4, Pick #105 — LAC
KTC consensus. SF rank 370 (pos #138) — model delta ↑↑ +156. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.17_pick_tier_baseline_R4”). With 2 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.17; we blend the comp-only projection (106) with the pick-tier baseline (300). low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 10.08Final season fp/g: 13.56Peak season fp/g: 13.56Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Brenen Thompson. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Terry WrightPurdue20190.927unknownTerry Wright———
Terry McLaurinOhio State20190.837starterTerry McLaurin148914.88
Isaiah Johnson-MackWashington State20180.805unknownIsaiah Johnson-Mack———
Jerrod MeansPittsburgh20240.804unknownJerrod Means———
Jonathan KrauseVanderbilt20140.788unknownJonathan Krause31.61
Stephon RobinsonNorthwestern20220.787unknownStephon Robinson———
Avery DavisNotre Dame20220.723unknownAvery Davis———
Lawrence CagerGeorgia20200.707bustLawrence Cager503.53
Cornell PowellClemson20210.639unknownCornell Powell———
Tony EllisonArizona20190.618unknownTony Ellison———
Dorian BakerKentucky20160.601unknownDorian Baker———
Theo HowardUCLA20190.582unknownTheo Howard———
Tony BrownColorado20200.571unknownTony Brown———
Andre DavisVirginia Tech20020.570unknownAndre Davis5329.68
Chris PierceVanderbilt20220.569unknownChris Pierce———
La'Michael PettwayIowa State20200.567unknownLa'Michael Pettway———
Tony NicholsonNew Mexico State20200.561unknownTony Nicholson———
Frank DarbyArizona State20200.546unknownFrank Darby51.62
Chas NimrodSouth Florida20260.544unknownChas Nimrod———
Eric KumahVirginia Tech20190.542unknownEric Kumah———
Ramel KeytonTennessee20240.534unknownRamel Keyton20.61
Terrell BynumWashington20220.523unknownTerrell Bynum———
Jake SmithTexas20210.513unknownJake Smith———
Montorie FosterMichigan State20250.511unknownMontorie Foster Jr00.01
Elijah HigginsStanford20230.508bustElijah Higgins1814.04

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.