Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Barion Brown

WR · LSU · Class of 2026 · Model rank #318 (pos #134)
151
Projected career fp
3.9
Projected peak3 fp/g
2.2
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
5
Comps w/ NFL data
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NFL comparables — first 6 career games

N = 6 games6 games is a very small sample. This shows how these players began, not how they will finish. It is a comparison, not a projection, and it should not be read as a settled view of anyone’s career. Drawn from 1,012 historical WRs who played at least 6 career games. A “game” is one in which the player recorded a stat line. Inactive weeks do not count, and the same rule is applied to the rookie and to every historical player he is compared against.

Barion Brown’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 6 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.

Player Debut First 6 career games Similarity Career outcome Career fp Seasons
Barion Brown this rookie20264 tgt · 4 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD————
Kevin Ogletree20094 tgt · 4 rec · 58 yds · 0 TD0.947depth2246
DeVier Posey20126 tgt · 4 rec · 65 yds · 0 TD0.926bust493
T.J. Jones20156 tgt · 3 rec · 48 yds · 0 TD0.897depth1825
Chris Matthews20146 tgt · 4 rec · 54 yds · 0 TD0.885bust403
Bryce Oliver20244 tgt · 4 rec · 72 yds · 0 TD0.878active172
Albert Wilson20144 tgt · 4 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD0.868depth5627
Aundrae Allison20070 tgt · 4 rec · 67 yds · 0 TD0.867bust392
Lance Moore20060 tgt · 4 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD0.862starter1,13710
Sam Hurd20060 tgt · 5 rec · 75 yds · 0 TD0.860bust1396
Scott Vines20040 tgt · 5 rec · 74 yds · 0 TD0.860bust902
Pre-season college projection and college comps secondary
Superseded by the NFL comparison above. This is the pre-season estimate, built before Barion Brown played a down: his college production comped against historical college players, anchored on draft capital. It is a weaker estimator (prospect back-test ρ 0.27 ex-TE) and it knows nothing about what he has actually done in the NFL. Kept for reference only.
🏈 NFL Draft 2026: Round 6, Pick #190 — NOR
KTC consensus. SF rank 479 (pos #180) — model delta ↑↑ +161. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is a confidence-blend (“blend_0.17_pick_tier_baseline_R5_6”). With 2 meaningful comp NFL careers (≥200 career fp), confidence is 0.17; we blend the comp-only projection (56) with the pick-tier baseline (170). low-confidence comp pool

Projection inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 10.10Final season fp/g: 9.66Peak season fp/g: 10.98Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Barion Brown. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Charles NelsonOregon20180.808unknownCharles Nelson———
Beaux CollinsNotre Dame20250.787unknownBeaux Collins41.11
Tre MosleyMichigan State20240.767unknownTre Mosley———
TJ SheffieldUConn20250.766unknownTJ Sheffield———
Garrett JohnsonKentucky20180.708unknownGarrett Johnson———
Bill FlowersOle Miss20050.705unknownBill Flowers———
Renard BellWashington State20230.702unknownRenard Bell———
Kevonte Martin-ManleyIowa20150.674unknownKevonte Martin-Manley———
Dane KeyNebraska20260.673unknownDane Key———
Richard SmithArkansas20040.666unknownRichard Smith———
B.J. JohnsonTexas20040.666unknownB.J. Johnson———
Donavon GreeneVirginia Tech20260.649unknownDonavon Greene———
Robert JordanCalifornia20080.638unknownRobert Jordan———
Jordan VillaminOregon State20180.638unknownJordan Villamin———
Michael RectorStanford20170.637unknownMichael Rector———
Travis BenjaminMiami (FL)20120.635unknownTravis Benjamin67910.19
Bert ReedFlorida State20120.623unknownBert Reed———
Jordan WhittingtonTexas20240.613bustJordan Whittington922.33
John Paul RichardsonStanford20250.605unknownJohn Paul Richardson———
Hunter RenfrowClemson20190.603unknownHunter Renfrow68811.26
K.J. HillOhio State20200.601unknownK.J. Hill201.12
Johnathon JohnsonMissouri20200.599unknownJohnathon Johnson———
De'Zhaun StriblingOle Miss20260.599unknownDe'Zhaun Stribling———
Jhajuan SealesOklahoma State20170.590unknownJhajuan Seales———
Bryce KirtzNorthwestern20250.590unknownBryce Kirtz———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.