Athan Kaliakmanis’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 1 career game looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 1 career game | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athan Kaliakmanis this rookie | 2026 | 15 cmp · 33 att · 186 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 16 ru yds | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Finley | 2019 | 16 cmp · 30 att · 167 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 22 ru yds | 0.810 | bust | 44 | 2 |
| Russell Wilson | 2012 | 18 cmp · 34 att · 153 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 20 ru yds | 0.808 | active | 3,734 | 14 |
| DeShone Kizer | 2017 | 20 cmp · 30 att · 222 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 17 ru yds | 0.744 | depth | 181 | 2 |
| C.J. Beathard | 2017 | 19 cmp · 36 att · 245 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 14 ru yds | 0.731 | depth | 238 | 6 |
| Kyle Boller | 2003 | 22 cmp · 43 att · 152 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 14 ru yds | 0.719 | depth | 468 | 8 |
| Thad Lewis | 2012 | 22 cmp · 32 att · 204 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 3 ru yds | 0.688 | bust | 69 | 2 |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2017 | 12 cmp · 25 att · 128 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 22 ru yds | 0.688 | active | 911 | 9 |
| Bryce Young | 2023 | 20 cmp · 38 att · 146 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT · 17 ru yds | 0.665 | active | 690 | 4 |
| Drew Brees | 2001 | 15 cmp · 27 att · 221 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · 18 ru yds | 0.661 | elite | 5,158 | 20 |
| Nick Foles | 2012 | 22 cmp · 32 att · 219 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · 0 ru yds | 0.650 | starter | 848 | 11 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Athan Kaliakmanis. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Whitehurst | Clemson | 2006 | 0.786 | unknown | Charlie Whitehurst | 157 | 9.7 | 7 |
| Reggie Ball | Georgia Tech | 2007 | 0.709 | unknown | Reggie Ball | — | — | — |
| Stephen Garcia | South Carolina | 2012 | 0.684 | unknown | Stephen Garcia | — | — | — |
| Bret Meyer | Iowa State | 2008 | 0.657 | unknown | Bret Meyer | — | — | — |
| Tommy DeVito | Illinois | 2023 | 0.654 | unknown | Tommy DeVito | 108 | 6.2 | 3 |
| Jacory Harris | Miami (FL) | 2012 | 0.639 | unknown | Jacory Harris | — | — | — |
| Tanner Price | Wake Forest | 2014 | 0.635 | unknown | Tanner Price | — | — | — |
| Jeff Smoker | Michigan State | 2004 | 0.635 | unknown | Jeff Smoker | — | — | — |
| David Greene | Georgia | 2005 | 0.622 | unknown | David Greene | — | — | — |
| Curtis Painter | Purdue | 2009 | 0.621 | bust | Curtis Painter | 66 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Chad Henne | Michigan | 2008 | 0.611 | starter | Chad Henne | 697 | 12.4 | 13 |
| Kevin Riley | California | 2011 | 0.607 | unknown | Kevin Riley | — | — | — |
| Skylar John Thompson | Kansas State | 2022 | 0.593 | unknown | Skylar Thompson | 25 | 3.2 | 2 |
| K.J. Costello | Mississippi State | 2021 | 0.587 | unknown | K.J. Costello | — | — | — |
| T.J. Yates | North Carolina | 2011 | 0.586 | unknown | T.J. Yates | 105 | 7.2 | 6 |
| Jarrett Guarantano | Tennessee | 2021 | 0.584 | unknown | Jarrett Guarantano | — | — | — |
| Tyler Hansen | Colorado | 2012 | 0.582 | unknown | Tyler Hansen | — | — | — |
| JT Daniels | Rice | 2024 | 0.580 | unknown | JT Daniels | — | — | — |
| Ryan Willis | Virginia Tech | 2020 | 0.569 | unknown | Ryan Willis | — | — | — |
| Willie Tuitama | Arizona | 2009 | 0.558 | unknown | Willie Tuitama | — | — | — |
| Rudy Carpenter | Arizona State | 2009 | 0.550 | unknown | Rudy Carpenter | — | — | — |
| Kyle Shurmur | Vanderbilt | 2019 | 0.540 | unknown | Kyle Shurmur | — | — | — |
| Behren Morton | Texas Tech | 2026 | 0.537 | unknown | Behren Morton | — | — | — |
| E.J. Manuel | Florida State | 2013 | 0.531 | unknown | E.J. Manuel | — | — | — |
| Zack Mills | Penn State | 2005 | 0.529 | unknown | Zack Mills | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.