Next Level Dynasty Football

Fantasy Football · Updated November 07, 2026 at 04:46 PM UTC · Default format: Superflex PPR

Arian Smith

WR · Georgia · Class of 2025 · Model rank #194 (pos #86)
300
Projected career fp
6.0
Projected peak3 fp/g
3.5
Proj yrs in league
22.0
Age
6
Comps w/ NFL data
← back to Prospect Rankings
🏈 NFL Draft 2025: Round 4, Pick #110 — NYJ
KTC consensus. SF rank 445 (pos #168) — model delta ↑↑ +251. Positive delta = model bullish vs consensus; negative = bearish.
v3.6 projection methodology. Projection is the pick-tier baseline for this position. No comps with meaningful NFL careers — the historical college players most similar to this prospect either didn't reach the NFL or only had cup-of-coffee stints (<200 career fp). The pick-tier baseline anchors the number to what players in this position+pick range historically produce. low-confidence comp pool

Projection Inputs

College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.

College adj career fp/g: 11.51Final season fp/g: 11.51Peak season fp/g: 11.51Conf tier (last): P5

Top-25 college comparables

Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Arian Smith. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.

College player School Class Similarity NFL outcome NFL career Career fp Peak3 fp/g Seasons
Isaiah Garcia-CastanedaNew Mexico State20221.000unknownIsaiah Garcia-Castaneda———
Robert FerrelWashington State20230.914unknownRobert Ferrel———
Brandon ArconadoWashington State20200.817unknownBrandon Arconado———
Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Kansas20260.796unknownEmmanuel Henderson Jr.———
Javon McKinleyNotre Dame20210.700unknownJavon McKinley———
DJ TurnerPittsburgh20210.695bustDJ Turner501.54
Jakobie Keeney-JamesMassachusetts20250.638unknownJakobie Keeney-James43.51
Ra'Shaun HenryVirginia20220.577unknownRa'Shaun Henry———
Shaleak KnottsMaryland20260.564unknownShaleak Knotts———
Caleb DuckingMississippi State20230.559unknownCaleb Ducking———
Ja'Khi DouglasFlorida State20250.556unknownJa'Khi Douglas———
De'Vion WarrenArkansas20210.547unknownDe'Vion Warren———
Kendrick LawKentucky20260.526unknownKendrick Law———
Anthony SimpsonMassachusetts20240.511unknownAnthony Simpson———
Jalen CampGeorgia Tech20210.511unknownJalen Camp20.82
Jamarye JoinerArizona20200.510unknownJamarye Joiner———
Noah ThomasTexas A&M20250.500unknownNoah Thomas———
Horatio FieldsWake Forest20250.498unknownHoratio Fields———
Jake SmithTexas20210.498unknownJake Smith———
A.J. HenningNorthwestern20250.497unknownA.J. Henning———
Ramel KeytonTennessee20240.496unknownRamel Keyton20.61
Montorie FosterMichigan State20250.495unknownMontorie Foster Jr00.01
Frank DarbyArizona State20200.488unknownFrank Darby51.62
Chris PierceVanderbilt20220.485unknownChris Pierce———
Terrell BynumWashington20220.481unknownTerrell Bynum———

Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.