Antonio Williams’s actual 2026 NFL production, and the historical NFL players whose own first 7 career games looked most like it — same position, same number of games. His line is the highlighted row, so each comp can be read directly against it. Career outcome and career fp say what became of that player.
| Player | Debut | First 7 career games | Similarity | Career outcome | Career fp | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Williams this rookie | 2026 | 33 tgt · 23 rec · 259 yds · 1 TD | — | — | — | — |
| Jarvis Landry | 2014 | 34 tgt · 25 rec · 255 yds · 1 TD | 0.892 | elite | 1,770 | 9 |
| Kerry Taylor | 2013 | 34 tgt · 22 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD | 0.872 | bust | 51 | 1 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | 2019 | 32 tgt · 22 rec · 227 yds · 1 TD | 0.865 | active | 1,418 | 8 |
| Jalen Reagor | 2020 | 34 tgt · 20 rec · 256 yds · 1 TD | 0.850 | depth | 221 | 5 |
| Devaughn Vele | 2024 | 32 tgt · 26 rec · 281 yds · 1 TD | 0.848 | active | 259 | 3 |
| Darnell Mooney | 2020 | 37 tgt · 21 rec · 236 yds · 1 TD | 0.847 | active | 849 | 7 |
| JaJuan Dawson | 2000 | 34 tgt · 21 rec · 222 yds · 1 TD | 0.840 | bust | 130 | 3 |
| Griff Whalen | 2013 | 33 tgt · 20 rec · 227 yds · 1 TD | 0.833 | bust | 120 | 5 |
| Jabar Gaffney | 2002 | 37 tgt · 20 rec · 246 yds · 1 TD | 0.829 | starter | 1,162 | 11 |
| Michael Pittman | 2020 | 31 tgt · 24 rec · 302 yds · 1 TD | 0.826 | active | 1,182 | 7 |
College production summary feeding the v3.0 similarity vector. The engine weights these features against the prospect corpus (2000–present) to build the comp grid below.
Historical college players whose production curves most closely match Antonio Williams. Hit-label colouring tags each comp's eventual NFL outcome: elite, starter, bust, unknown (still developing or never reached the NFL). Click an NFL name to jump to its veteran page when available.
| College player | School | Class | Similarity | NFL outcome | NFL career | Career fp | Peak3 fp/g | Seasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Concepcion | Texas A&M | 2026 | 0.498 | unknown | Kevin Concepcion | — | — | — |
| Dres Anderson | Utah | 2015 | 0.498 | unknown | Dres Anderson | — | — | — |
| Chris Harper | California | 2015 | 0.483 | unknown | Chris Harper | 28 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Tres Moses | Rutgers | 2006 | 0.476 | unknown | Tres Moses | — | — | — |
| Jalen Reagor | TCU | 2020 | 0.474 | bust | Jalen Reagor | 235 | 5.2 | 5 |
| Jonathan Baldwin | Pitt | 2011 | 0.471 | unknown | Jonathan Baldwin | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Kelly | Oklahoma | 2008 | 0.461 | unknown | Malcolm Kelly | 64 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Seth Williams | Auburn | 2021 | 0.459 | unknown | Seth Williams | 4 | 4.4 | 1 |
| Tamorrion Terry | Florida State | 2021 | 0.458 | unknown | Tamorrion Terry | — | — | — |
| Keenan Howry | Oregon | 2003 | 0.450 | bust | Keenan Howry | 5 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Ty Montgomery | Stanford | 2015 | 0.445 | unknown | Ty Montgomery | 446 | 10.4 | 9 |
| Derek Moye | Penn State | 2012 | 0.444 | unknown | Derek Moye | 10 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Austin Seferian-Jenkins | Washington | 2014 | 0.440 | unknown | Austin Seferian-Jenkins | — | — | — |
| Calvin Ridley | Alabama | 2018 | 0.437 | starter | Calvin Ridley | 1248 | 16.0 | 8 |
| Dicky Lyons | Kentucky | 2009 | 0.428 | unknown | Dicky Lyons | — | — | — |
| Josh Reynolds | Texas A&M | 2017 | 0.427 | unknown | Josh Reynolds | 690 | 8.3 | 9 |
| Mario Urrutia | Louisville | 2008 | 0.427 | unknown | Mario Urrutia | — | — | — |
| Brian Robiskie | Ohio State | 2009 | 0.424 | bust | Brian Robiskie | 116 | 4.3 | 5 |
| Artavis Scott | Clemson | 2017 | 0.424 | unknown | Artavis Scott | — | — | — |
| Donte Moncrief | Ole Miss | 2014 | 0.422 | unknown | Donte Moncrief | 591 | 10.2 | 7 |
| Jared Karstetter | Washington State | 2012 | 0.419 | unknown | Jared Karstetter | — | — | — |
| Arrelious Benn | Illinois | 2010 | 0.417 | bust | Arrelious Benn | 204 | 4.7 | 5 |
| Kareem Kelly | USC | 2003 | 0.414 | unknown | Kareem Kelly | — | — | — |
| Lane Danielsen | Iowa State | 2004 | 0.411 | unknown | Lane Danielsen | — | — | — |
| Jock Sanders | West Virginia | 2011 | 0.408 | unknown | Jock Sanders | — | — | — |
Methodology details: v3.0 prospect engine — PR 3 similarity, PR 4 projection, PR 5 back-test.